Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/19/2025 7:10 PM EDT

We have your Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Baltimore Orioles hit the road to face the Boston Red Sox.

Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Boston Red Sox -140 (Caesars)
Best Spread Odds: Boston Red Sox -1.0 (+101 DraftKings)
Best Total Odds: Over 9.5 (+105 ESPN BET) / Under 9.5 (-110 Caesars)

Game Info

Date: 2025-08-19
Time: 7:10 PM EDT
Location: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
TV: MASN / NESN

Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox Preview

The Baltimore Orioles (58-67) travel to Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (68-58) in the second game of their series. The Orioles took game one last night with a 6-3 victory, scoring the first four runs of the game and finishing with 12 hits. Baltimore has been on a good run recently, winning five of their last six games, despite sitting last in the AL East standings. Their pitching staff holds a 4.68 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP, while their offense averages a .241 batting average and a .306 on-base percentage.

The Boston Red Sox, coming off the game one loss, are looking to bounce back. They had six hits in the opener and were led by Jarren Duran, who contributed three RBIs. Boston had previously won two out of three against the Marlins and are currently tied for second in the AL East. The Red Sox pitching staff boasts a 3.76 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP, while their offense has scored 629 runs this season with a .253 batting average and a .323 on-base percentage.

On the mound for the Orioles is right-hander Tomoyuki Sugano, who holds a 10-5 record with a 4.13 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 126.1 innings pitched this season. For the Red Sox, right-hander Walker Buehler is projected to start. He comes into this game with a 7-7 record, a 5.43 ERA, and a 1.55 WHIP through 106.0 innings.

Injuries to note for the Orioles include Jordan Westburg (Day-To-Day), Scott Blewett (15-Day-IL), Jorge Mateo (60-Day-IL), Tyler Wells (60-Day-IL), Kyle Bradish (60-Day-IL), Tyler O'Neill (10-Day-IL), Zach Eflin (60-Day-IL), Albert Suárez (60-Day-IL), Félix Bautista (15-Day-IL), Grayson Rodriguez (60-Day-IL), Colin Selby (15-Day-IL), Gary Sánchez (10-Day-IL), Cody Poteet (60-Day-IL), Rodolfo Martinez (Day-To-Day), Carlos Tavera (Day-To-Day), and Justin Armbruester (Day-To-Day), Franklin Barreto (Day-To-Day). For the Red Sox, Justin Slaten (60-Day-IL), Wilyer Abreu (Day-To-Day), Tanner Houck (60-Day-IL), Rob Refsnyder (10-Day-IL), Marcelo Mayer (10-Day-IL), Luis Guerrero (60-Day-IL), Hunter Dobbins (60-Day-IL), Patrick Sandoval (60-Day-IL), Josh Winckowski (60-Day-IL), Liam Hendriks (60-Day-IL), Kutter Crawford (60-Day-IL), Mark Kolozsvary (Day-To-Day), and Triston Casas (60-Day-IL) are on the injury report.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

In the most recent matchup, the Baltimore Orioles defeated the Boston Red Sox by a score of 6-3 on Monday night. The Orioles recorded 12 hits in that game, while the Red Sox managed six. Looking at their season performance, the Orioles have a road record of 28-37, while the Red Sox have been strong at home with a 41-24 record.

Pick: Under 9.5 Total Runs

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While the Red Sox offense has been productive this season, and the Orioles showed offensive prowess in game one, the "Weather Watch Unders" system presents a compelling argument for the Under. This system, which has a strong record of 44-18-6 this season (a 33% ROI), focuses on environmental factors like moderate to strong winds and mild to cool temperatures that can suppress offense. Fenway Park's park factor for home runs is 90, which is slightly below average, suggesting it's not a home run haven. Given the system's consistent profitability and its focus on conditions that stifle scoring, backing the Under 9.5 runs at -110 odds on Caesars is the recommended play.

Top Player Prop Picks

Jeremiah Jackson (Baltimore Orioles) - Over 0.5 Hits

Jeremiah Jackson has been a consistent hitter for the Orioles, especially recently. He has hit the over on this line in 100% of his last 5 games and 80% of his last 10 games. His season mean for hits is 1.07, well above the 0.5 line. In his single appearance against the Red Sox in 2025, he recorded 2.0 hits, hitting the over 100% of the time. When playing on the road, he has hit the over 77.78% of the time this season with a mean of 1.33 hits. Facing Walker Buehler, who has shown a tendency to allow hits and walks, Jackson is in a favorable position to continue his hitting streak. You can find this prop at -175 odds on ESPN BET.

Samuel Basallo (Baltimore Orioles) - Over 0.5 Hits

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Samuel Basallo has demonstrated a strong ability to get on base, hitting the over on 0.5 hits in 100% of his games this season (2 games played). In his one game against the Red Sox in 2025, he recorded 2.0 hits, hitting the over 100% of the time. When playing on the road, he has hit the over 100% of the time this season with a mean of 1.5 hits. Given his perfect hit rate in limited appearances and the batter-friendly environment of Fenway Park, Basallo is a solid pick to record at least one hit. This prop is available at -220 odds on BetMGM.

Dylan Beavers (Baltimore Orioles) - Over 0.5 Hits

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Dylan Beavers has also been perfect in hitting the over on 0.5 hits this season, doing so in 100% of his 3 games played, with a season mean of 1.33 hits. In his single game against the Red Sox in 2025, he recorded 2.0 hits, hitting the over 100% of the time. His performance on the road mirrors his overall season, hitting the over 100% of the time with a mean of 1.33 hits. With his consistent hitting and the favorable matchup against Walker Buehler, Beavers is well-positioned to extend his hitting streak. You can bet on this prop at -180 odds on BetRivers.

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