Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/13/2025 7:10 PM EDT

We have your Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Atlanta Braves hit the road to face the New York Mets.

Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: New York Mets -200 [ESPN BET] / Atlanta Braves +172 [Fanduel]
Best Spread Odds: New York Mets -1.5 (+105) [BetMGM] / Atlanta Braves +1.5 (-115) [Fanduel]
Best Total Odds: Over 8.5 (-121) [BetRivers] / Under 9.0 (-117) [DraftKings]

Game Info

Date: 2025-08-13
Time: 7:10 PM EDT
Location: Citi Field
TV: -

Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets Preview

The New York Mets (64-55) are set to host the Atlanta Braves (51-68) at Citi Field. The Mets enter this contest with a decent overall record, but their recent form has been inconsistent, securing only two victories in their last ten games and conceding over five runs per game. This includes a recent five-game losing streak, which could impact team morale. However, they are coming off a dominant 13-5 win against the Braves yesterday, which could provide a much-needed boost.

On the mound for the Mets will be David Peterson, who holds a 7-5 record with a 2.98 ERA this season. Peterson's team has performed well when he starts as the moneyline favorite, boasting a 10-5 record in such situations.

The Atlanta Braves, despite their lower standing in the league, have shown slightly more consistency recently with five wins in their last ten games. They have been averaging over three runs in most of their recent road matches. Carlos Carrasco (2-2, 6.18 ERA) will take the mound for the Braves. In Carrasco's starts, the Braves have a 5-3 record against the spread and are 2-3 when he starts as a moneyline underdog.

Both teams are dealing with significant injuries. The Braves are particularly hit, with key players like Ronald Acuña Jr., Chris Sale, and Austin Riley (10-Day IL with a strained lower abdominal muscle) sidelined. The Mets also have a number of players on the injured list, though none as impactful as the Braves' absences.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The most recent encounter between these two teams was just yesterday, August 12, 2025, where the New York Mets secured a decisive 13-5 victory over the Atlanta Braves. Looking back at their recent matchups at Citi Field:

On August 12, 2025, the Mets defeated the Braves 13-5, with the total going Over 8.5.
On June 26, 2025, the Mets won 4-0, and the total went Under 8.5.
On June 25, 2025, the Mets won 7-3, with the total going Over 9.
On June 24, 2025, the Braves won 7-4, and the total went Over 9.
On June 23, 2025, the Braves won 3-2, with the total going Under 8.5.

Historically, the Mets have shown a strong tendency to win at home against NL East opponents following a victory, having done so in each of their last seven such games. Conversely, the Braves have struggled in night games, losing each of their last four. When the Mets are favored on the moneyline, they have won 61% of their games this season (50-32), while the Braves have won only 24.2% of their games as underdogs (8-33).

Pick: New York Mets Moneyline

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The New York Mets are the favored team in this matchup, and for good reason. They are coming off a dominant 13-5 victory over the Braves, which should provide significant momentum. The Mets also boast a 64.8% win probability according to numberFire, with computer predictions favoring them 5-4. Furthermore, sharp money analysis indicates a 64.55% win percentage for the Mets on the moneyline. David Peterson, the Mets' starting pitcher, has a strong 10-5 record when his team is favored on the moneyline. Given the Braves' struggles as underdogs and their recent performance in night games, coupled with the Mets' strong home record against divisional opponents after a win, backing the New York Mets to win outright is the most compelling pick.

Top Player Prop Picks

Juan Soto (New York Mets) Over 0.5 Hits

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Juan Soto has been in excellent form at the plate, consistently getting on base. He has hit the over on this line in 100% of his last 5 games and 90% of his last 10 games. For the season, Soto averages 0.9 hits per game, hitting the over in 62.71% of his appearances. Against the Atlanta Braves in 2025, he has hit the over in 75% of his matchups. When playing at home, he maintains a strong 61.02% hit rate on the over. This consistent performance makes the Over 0.5 Hits for Juan Soto at -225 odds on [BetMGM] a solid pick.

Jurickson Profar (Atlanta Braves) Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Jurickson Profar has been a reliable offensive contributor for the Braves. He has hit the over on his Hits + Runs + RBIs line in 80% of his last 5 games and 80% of his last 10 games. His season average for this combined prop is 2.05, with a 64.1% hit rate on the over throughout the season. In his single 2025 matchup against the Mets, he hit the over 100% of the time. As a visitor, Profar has hit the over in 65% of his games this season. Considering his recent consistency and performance against the Mets, taking the Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs for Jurickson Profar at -105 odds on [DraftKings] is a favorable bet.

Jeff McNeil (New York Mets) Over 0.5 Hits

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Jeff McNeil has demonstrated strong hitting capabilities, especially when playing at home. He has hit the over on his hits prop in 80% of his last 10 games. His season average stands at 0.8 hits per game, with a 65.06% hit rate on the over for the season. Against the Atlanta Braves in 2025, McNeil has hit the over in 62.5% of his matchups. His performance at home is particularly noteworthy, as he has hit the over in 69.05% of his games this season. This consistent hitting makes the Over 0.5 Hits for Jeff McNeil at -210 odds on [Fanduel] a strong play.

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