Arizona Diamondbacks @ Texas Rangers Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/13/2025 2:35 PM EDT

We have your Arizona Diamondbacks @ Texas Rangers prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Arizona Diamondbacks hit the road to face the Texas Rangers.

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Texas Rangers Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Texas Rangers -145 (BetMGM), Arizona Diamondbacks +130 (Caesars)
Best Spread Odds: Texas Rangers -1.0 (-106, BetRivers)
Best Total Odds: Over 7.5 (-120, ESPN BET), Under 8.0 (-105, Caesars)

Game Info

Date: 2025-08-13
Time: 2:35 PM EDT
Location: Globe Life Field
TV: -

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Texas Rangers Preview

The Texas Rangers (61-60 overall, 37-25 at home) are set to host the Arizona Diamondbacks (58-62 overall, 28-32 on the road) in what promises to be a rubber match, with the series currently tied 1-1. The Rangers come into this game with a 4-6 record in their last 10 outings against all teams, while the Diamondbacks have shown stronger recent form, winning 7 of their last 10 games. The Rangers' pitching staff boasts a collective 3.31 ERA, which leads MLB, a significant advantage when playing at home. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are a power-hitting team, ranking second in the National League with 168 total home runs.

On the mound, the Rangers will send Merrill Kelly (9-7, 3.37 ERA) to the hill, looking for his 10th win of the season. Kelly's team has a 7-5 record this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite. For the Diamondbacks, Zac Gallen (9-12, 5.31 ERA) gets the nod. The Diamondbacks have been the underdog in 10 of Gallen's starts this season, going 5-5 in those games. The Rangers are coming off a 3-2 loss to the Diamondbacks in their last game, while Arizona secured a 3-2 victory.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The historical head-to-head matchups between the Texas Rangers and the Arizona Diamondbacks have been tightly contested. In their last 10 fixtures, both teams are evenly matched with a 5-5 record, indicating a fierce rivalry. The Rangers hold a slight edge in recent history, with a 5-3 record in their last 8 head-to-head meetings against the Diamondbacks. When playing at home in Texas, the Rangers have a 3-2 record in their last 5 meetings against Arizona. The most recent encounter saw the Arizona Diamondbacks triumph over the Texas Rangers with a score of 3-2 on August 12, 2025, tying the current series at one game apiece.

Pick: Texas Rangers Moneyline

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The Texas Rangers moneyline at -145 (BetMGM) presents a strong betting opportunity. While the head-to-head history shows an even split, the Rangers have a superior home record at 37-25 and boast the league's best team ERA at 3.31. Their starting pitcher, Merrill Kelly, has a solid 3.37 ERA and his team has performed well when he starts as the moneyline favorite. Sharp money analysis also indicates a preference for the Rangers on the moneyline, with a 57.97% sharp win percentage. Furthermore, numberFire's prediction gives the Rangers a 53.6% chance of winning this game. Given these factors, the Rangers are well-positioned to secure a victory in this rubber match.

Top Player Prop Picks

Geraldo Perdomo (Arizona Diamondbacks) - Over 0.5 Hits

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Geraldo Perdomo has been a consistent hitter for the Diamondbacks, especially recently. He has hit the over on 0.5 hits in 100% of his last 5 games, with an average of 1.8 hits per game. Over his last 10 games, he's hit the over 90% of the time, averaging 1.5 hits. Looking at his performance against the Rangers in 2025, he has hit the over in 100% of those matchups, averaging 1.5 hits. For the season, he's hit the over in 67.23% of his games. This consistent performance, coupled with his success against the Rangers, makes the Over 0.5 Hits at -185 (BetMGM) a compelling pick.

Blaze Alexander (Arizona Diamondbacks) - Over 0.5 Bases

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Blaze Alexander has been on a hot streak, particularly in terms of total bases. He has hit the over on 0.5 bases in 100% of his last 5 games, averaging 3.6 bases. Over his last 10 games, he's hit the over 90% of the time, with an average of 2.7 bases. Against the Texas Rangers in 2025, he has hit the over in 100% of his appearances, averaging an impressive 4.0 bases. His season-long hit rate for this prop is 54.55%. Given his recent form and strong performance against this specific opponent, taking the Over 0.5 Bases at -125 (Caesars) is a favorable play.

Corbin Carroll (Arizona Diamondbacks) - Over 0.5 Hits

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Corbin Carroll has demonstrated a strong ability to get on base, making the Over 0.5 Hits prop an attractive option. He has hit the over in 80% of his last 5 games, averaging 1.2 hits, and maintained that 80% hit rate over his last 10 games, averaging 1.1 hits. Over his last 15 games, he's hit the over 73.33% of the time. For the 2025 season, Carroll has hit the over on 0.5 hits in 69.9% of his games. While his 2025 performance against the Rangers is 50% over, his 2024 performance against them was 75% over, averaging 1.5 hits. His overall consistency and strong hit rates make the Over 0.5 Hits at -220 (BetRivers) a solid pick.

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