We are only 10 days away from the college football season, and let me tell yall something, I am very excited.

I can only think of one thing more enjoyable than college football, and that is betting on college football. We are still a few days away from betting on actual games, but there is still some time to get your preseason win totals in. Here, you will find my best win totals for the upcoming college football season.

I have seven plays on my card, and we would love for you to tail our picks, we just ask that you do so responsibly.

Here are this year's win totals.

*Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

 

Michigan Wolverines Over 9.5 Wins (-125)

 

This is one of my favorite win totals of the season.

Yes, Michigan lost a lot on the defensive side of the ball with Aidan HutchinsonDavid Ojabo, and Daxton Hill all off to the NFL, and losing one-half of their dynamic duo at running back in Hassan Haskins will certainly hurt their explosive rushing game from last season, but this is still the biggest threat to Ohio State in the Big Ten.

Their offensive line is going to rival Notre Dame and Utah for the best unit in the country with two returning starters and the best offensive lineman in the transfer portal, Olusegun Oluwatimi is expected to anchor this unit at center.

Obviously, the Wolverines need to figure out the QB situation as Cade McNamara, and highly-touted prospect J.J. McCarthy returns to Ann Arbor this season. A big reason Michigan was successful with a two-quarterback offense was that their defense was so damn elite, and they had two of the best running backs in the country splitting reps behind a dominating offensive line. Eventually, I would assume McCarthy takes over the job, but with Michigan's pillow-soft out-of-conference schedule, they have plenty of time to figure out their quarterback situation.

Defensively, Michigan has a lot of production to replace, but their front seven is full of experience as Junior Colson and Nikhai Hill-Green are looking to secure the starting linebacker spots, and Mike MorrisTaylor Upshaw, and Jaylen Harrell coming off the edge. The secondary is super young, which may cost them against teams like Ohio State and Michigan State, but there are a lot of good things coming out of camp from converted receiver Mike Sainristil at the nickel.

I think that Michigan is trending in the right direction for the first time in over a decade, and although they are not as good as they were last season, I can easily find 10 wins on this schedule.

 

Kansas State Wildcats Over 6.5 Wins (-160)

 

I will tell you what, the Wildcats have a nice little squad this season.

Running back Deuce Vaughn had a sensational year with 22 touchdowns and 1872 total yards from scrimmage. He is entering his junior season, which is arguably the most important for a collegiate running back. If he can put out another monster season, he will make himself quite a bit of money. Anyway, Kansas State will have Nebraska quarterback transfer Adrian Martinez, who is both the best and worst player in college football.

He is not a great thrower of the football, and he has some hilariously bad moments, but Martinez is uber-athletic, has played in a lot of big games, and is getting a fresh start in an offense that has some damn-good weapons. In his career, Martinez has thrown for 45 touchdowns, and his 35 career rushing touchdowns give the Wildcats another level to their offense. They are down a few boys up front from last season, but this offense is experienced, and they have the playmakers.

Defensively, Kansas State will bring back edge rushers Felix Anudike-Uzomah and Nate Matlack, as well as key contributors Eli Huggins and Daniel Green. The secondary is going to be tested as they are going to have to rely on a lot of youth, but up-front, Kansas State is as solid as any team in the conference.

 

TCU Horned Frogs Under 6.5 (+125)

 

The Horned Frogs are entering the first full season with Sonny Dykes as the head coach, and it is going to be a tough one. TCU lost dynamic running back Zach Evans to Ole Miss, and one of the best pass-rushers in the country, Ochaun Mathis to Nebraska.

We are a few months away from the start of the season, and we do not know which quarterback they are going to roll with this season. TCU can go with Max Duggan, who has 29 uninspiring starts for the Horned Frogs, or they can turn the team over to Chandler Morris, who transferred over from Oklahoma. Whoever gets the nod will have to lead an offense that does not have a lot of talent in the skill room, but they will be protected by a solid offensive line featured by First-Team All-Big 12 center Steve Avila.

They did get a few players through the portal, but they do not have a lot of promise on either side of the ball.

 

Clemson Tigers Under 10.5 Wins (-125)

 

Ever since the offseason started, I have been debating with myself whether Clemson is actually on a downward spiral or not. I mean, I understand that this defense is returning a lot of talent, and they once again had a good recruiting cycle under Dabo Swinney, but D.J. Uiagalelei was unbelievably awful last season, as was the entire offense.

Uiagalelei completed only 55.6% of his passes and had 10 touchdowns to nine interceptions last season, and the Tigers were ranked 118th in yards per pass, 106th in pass yards per game, and they only scored 24.4 points per game. I would expect Uiagalelei to get the nod as the starter, but if he continues to struggle, Cade Klubnik is waiting for his chance to strike.

Luckily, Clemson is returning four starters on the offensive line and they have a solid mix of skill players in Will ShipleyJoseph Ngata, and Beaux Collins for whoever will be distributing the ball for Clemson. I believe a more experienced group will be able to overcome awful QB play if needed, so I am expecting a much-improved offense.

I already mentioned the defense, but Clemson's front seven is going to win them a lot of games, even if their offense continues to struggle. With Xavier ThomasK.J. HenryMyles Murphy, and Justin Mascol coming off the edge and Bryan Bresee and Tyler Davis clogging up the middle, we are looking at potentially the best defensive line Clemson has had, including the 2018 team that dominated every team they faced.

With all of that being said, however, Clemson has a tough schedule with road games against Wake Forest (barring Sam Hartman's status) Notre Dame, Boston College, and Florida State. Clemson also has N.C. State and Miami on the schedule, two teams that I am very high on.

There are just too many good teams on the schedule for me to be comfortable taking the over, and I still have a lot of questions about this offense.

 

Texas Longhorns Under 8.5 Wins (-140)

 

It is not a college football offseason unless we have some preseason Texas hype. It happens every season, and this year is no different. But to their credit, they have a lot of promise this year. The Longhorns have one of the most talented quarterback recruits ever transferring over from Ohio State in Quinn Ewers, and the excitement around this program continues to grow with Arch Manning announcing his commitment to Texas.

Texas will also welcome back Bijan Robinson, who was a Heisman favorite for a while last season before a season-ending injury completely derailed a bad season for the Longhorns. At receiver, Texas has a lot of talent with speedster Xavier Worthy coming off a 12-touchdown season in his freshman year. Ewers will also have a top tight end to throw to with Alabama transfer Jahleel Billingsley bringing some experience into an inexperienced room.

Defensively, Texas is NOT back, but a few transfers will help fill some holes for a defense that gave up 31.1 points per game last season. Texas is about a year away from really reintroducing itself back to college football prominence, but they are on the right track.

Good luck against Alabama, however.

 

Boston College Eagles Under 6.5 Wins (-135)

 

The good news for BC is that Phil Jurkovec and Zay Flowers are back, and when those two are on the field together, they form one of the most solid duo's in the ACC. The bad news is that the Eagles are going to have to replace their entire starting offensive line. Boston College was set to return one starter upfront this season in Christian Mahogany, but he is expected to miss the season with a torn ACL.

Defensively, BC has made tremendous strides since Jeff Hafley took over the program. Before Hafley, the Eagles had arguably the worst pass defense in college football. Last season, this defense was ranked 7th in pass yards per game (181.6), and they only allowed 24.2 points per game. With the majority of their defensive backfield returning, this BC defense has a chance to be a real special group.

Boston College might have some issues up front on both sides of the ball, especially against vastly more talented teams like Clemson and Notre Dame, but this program is showing its first signs of life since Matt Ryan. They are arguably a better team this season just based on experience, but I am having a hard time finding seven wins on this schedule, especially with road games against Notre Dame, N.C. State, Virginia Tech, and Wake Forest.

 

Air Force Falcons Over 8.5 Wins (-130)

 

Fun fact, six schools are currently projected to be favorites in every single game this season, and Air Force is one of them (Ohio State, Alabama, Oklahoma, Utah, and Georgia).

The Falcons finished with 10 wins last season, and they are returning a ton of production from last season on both sides of the ball. Offensively, Air Force will welcome back starting quarterback Haaziq Daniels, leading rusher Brad Roberts, and four of their starting lineman from last season. On the defensive side of that ball, the Falcons will have eight starters coming back, including star OLB Vince Sanford and sophomore safety Trey Taylor.

Air Force has won 21 of their last 27 games dating back to 2019, and they have one of the best home field advantages in the Mountain West, winning 36 of their last 45 home games since 2014. With all of their returning production on both sides of the ball, I find it hard to believe that a 10-win team is going to regress, especially in a weak Mountain West.

The Falcons also have all of their hardest games at Falcon Stadium, as Boise State, Colorado, Navy, and Colorado State all come to their backyard this year. They may get caught on a wrong day because the triple-option is not a 100% sustainable strategy, but since 2019, Air Force has been the best rushing offense in the country, and the defense has been just as good, as they have been a top 10 unit each of the past two seasons.

Outside of Michigan, this is my favorite over of the season.

 

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