If the opening week of the NFL season is always unpredictable, the second week of the NFL season is as predictable as it gets: everybody overreacts.

Big surprises like the road underdog Philadelphia Eagles blowing out the Atlanta Falcons 32-6 can dramatically change our opinions of both teams--and how top experts and users pick the following week.

Check out which teams had the biggest gains and losses in experts picking them from Week 1 to Week 2:

Risers	Week 1 SU pick rate	Week 2 SU pick rate	Difference
Cleveland Browns	7	100	93
New Orleans Saints	7	93	86
Pittsburgh Steelers	13	93	80
Arizona Cardinals	27	100	73
Cincinnati Bengals	20	73	53
Fallers	Week 1 SU pick rate	Week 2 SU pick rate	Difference
Tennessee Titans	73	7	-66
Baltimore Ravens	80	13	-67
Minnesota Vikings	80	0	-80
Carolina Panthers	100	7	-93
Atlanta Falcons	93	0	-93

Of course, not all of these big changes have to do with the teams themselves.

Sure, literally everybody got off the Atlanta Falcons after 93 percent of our experts picked them to beat the Eagles. And yeah, the Saints’ huge win over the Green Bay Packers is partly why 86 percent more of our top pickers backed them to win this weekend. But the Browns made an even bigger jump despite losing to the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 1--and that’s all about playing the Chiefs last week and the Houston Texans this week.

How can we account for the differences in expectations? Let’s try doing the same comparison, but with picks against the spread. That at least partly accounts for how tough this week’s matchups are ‘supposed’ to be:

Risers	Week 1 SU pick rate	Week 2 SU pick rate	Difference
Detroit Lions	27	80	53
Kansas City Chiefs	33	80	47
New Orleans Saints	33	73	40
Denver Broncos	53	87	34
Las Vegas Raiders	27	60	33
Fallers	Week 1 SU pick rate	Week 2 SU pick rate	Difference
Carolina Panthers	67	27	-40
Seattle Seahawks	87	47	-40
Green Bay Packers	67	20	-47
Jacksonville Jaguars	60	13	-47
Baltimore Ravens	73	20	-53

Four of our five top ATS confidence “risers” covered last week, and the Chiefs beating the Browns by 4 instead of 5.5 wasn’t enough to deter 80 percent of our top experts from thinking they’re going to light up the beat-up Baltimore Ravens.

Speaking of the Ravens, 73 percent of our experts got burned by them last week, and only 20 percent are still taking them this week--a league-worst 53 percent drop in confidence.

Meanwhile, the Carolina Panthers beating the New York Jets 19-14 didn’t convince handicappers that they’re going to keep it close against the New Orleans Saints. Even though 67 of Panthers backers cashed last week, only 27 percent are letting it ride into Week 2.