Every Sunday we bring you the Best Pick Index, our rundown of each game in order of how difficult the games are to pick. The BPI shows how each expert has picked the home and road team in those circumstances in 2013, thus giving you an idea of who has been most trustworthy in each scenario. We'll be updating a lot over the next few hours so keep your eye out and let us know which games you're having difficulty picking. We'll start with Miami @ Buffalo but from there on it will depend which matchups are the most interesting.
Enough of this! On with the previews!
Miami @ Buffalo (1pm)
*** Rain Game ***
**Matchup Difficulty: 48% **(the higher the score, the better the experts' success rate when picking these two teams. An 'average' matchup would be 62%)
Consensus: **Miami 84%**
Top 5 Overall: **Miami 60**%
**
Best Pick Index:**
**
This one is a strange one and definitely one we can look at in a different way, as we know that not only are our top overall pickers split quite evenly on this game, but the two guys with the best overall record when picking these two teams have gone with Buffalo. Last week the best pickers chose Miami against the consensus and turned out to be right as they defeated the Patriots, so it's certainly worth bearing that in mind today as a Bills team that took down the Jags could well be dangerous at home in challenging wet conditions.**
Miami
Buffalo
Rank
Expert
Affiliation
Road %
Home %
Overall:
Pick
1
Ty Schalter
Bleacher Report
85.71%
85.71%
85.7%
BUF
2
Black Tie
NFL
85.71%
71.43%
78.6%
BUF
3
Chris Law
NFL
71.43%
71.43%
71.4%
MIA
4
Dave Damashek
NFL
71.43%
71.43%
71.4%
MIA
5
Steve Mariucci
NFL
71.43%
71.43%
71.4%
MIA
6
Simon Samano
USA Today
71.43%
71.43%
71.4%
MIA
7
K.C. Joyner
ESPN
85.71%
57.14%
71.4%
MIA
8
Warren Sapp
NFL
85.71%
57.14%
71.4%
No Pick
9
Khaled Elsayed
ProFootballFocus
85.71%
57.14%
71.4%
MIA
10
Accuscore
Accuscore
85.71%
57.14%
71.4%
MIA
11
Les Carpenter
Yahoo
83.33%
57.14%
70.2%
No Pick
12
Erik Frenz
Bleacher Report
71.43%
57.14%
64.3%
MIA
13
Tyson Langland
Bleacher Report
71.43%
57.14%
64.3%
MIA
14
Mike Golic
ESPN
71.43%
57.14%
64.3%
MIA
15
Tom Jackson
ESPN
71.43%
57.14%
64.3%
BUF
16
Chris Brockman
NFL
57.14%
71.43%
64.3%
MIA
17
Dan Hanzus
NFL
57.14%
71.43%
64.3%
MIA
18
Henry Hodgson
NFL
71.43%
57.14%
64.3%
BUF
19
Michael Irvin
NFL
71.43%
57.14%
64.3%
MIA
20
Michael Silver
NFL
71.43%
57.14%
64.3%
MIA
21
Sam Monson
ProFootballFocus
42.86%
85.71%
64.3%
MIA
22
Brad Gagnon
Bleacher Report
71.43%
42.86%
57.1%
MIA
23
Knox Bardeen
Bleacher Report
57.14%
57.14%
57.1%
MIA
24
Matt Bowen
Bleacher Report
71.43%
42.86%
57.1%
MIA
25
Dave Richard
CBS
57.14%
57.14%
57.1%
MIA
26
John Breech
CBS
71.43%
42.86%
57.1%
MIA
27
Ryan Wilson
CBS
57.14%
57.14%
57.1%
BUF
28
Adam Schefter
ESPN
42.86%
71.43%
57.1%
MIA
29
Chris Mortensen
ESPN
71.43%
42.86%
57.1%
MIA
30
Cris Carter
ESPN
71.43%
42.86%
57.1%
MIA
31
Mark Schlereth
ESPN
57.14%
57.14%
57.1%
MIA
32
Ron Jaworski
ESPN
71.43%
42.86%
57.1%
BUF
33
Joel Beall
FOX
57.14%
57.14%
57.1%
MIA
34
Gregg Rosenthal
NFL
57.14%
57.14%
57.1%
MIA
35
Kevin Patra
NFL
85.71%
28.57%
57.1%
MIA
36
Rich Eisen
NFL
57.14%
57.14%
57.1%
BUF
37
Steve Wyche
NFL
57.14%
57.14%
57.1%
MIA
38
Michael David Smith
PFT
57.14%
57.14%
57.1%
MIA
39
Pickwatch
Pickwatch
28.57%
85.71%
57.1%
MIA
40
Ben Stockwell
ProFootballFocus
57.14%
57.14%
57.1%
MIA
41
Nathan Jahnke
ProFootballFocus
71.43%
42.86%
57.1%
MIA
42
Jarrett Bell
USA Today
42.86%
71.43%
57.1%
BUF
43
Jim Corbett
USA Today
71.43%
42.86%
57.1%
MIA
44
Nate Davis
USA Today
57.14%
57.14%
57.1%
MIA
45
Pete O'Brien
USA Today
71.43%
42.86%
57.1%
MIA
46
Marshall Faulk
NFL
60.00%
42.86%
51.4%
No Pick
47
Andrea Hangst
Bleacher Report
57.14%
42.86%
50.0%
MIA
48
Matt Miller
Bleacher Report
42.86%
57.14%
50.0%
MIA
49
Zach Kruse
Bleacher Report
42.86%
57.14%
50.0%
MIA
50
Prediction Machine
CBS
57.14%
42.86%
50.0%
MIA
51
Eric Allen
ESPN
42.86%
57.14%
50.0%
MIA
52
Keyshawn Johnson
ESPN
42.86%
57.14%
50.0%
MIA
53
Merill Hoge
ESPN
42.86%
57.14%
50.0%
MIA
54
Mike Ditka
ESPN
57.14%
42.86%
50.0%
MIA
55
Pick ‘em
ESPN
57.14%
42.86%
50.0%
MIA
56
Seth Wickersham
ESPN
28.57%
71.43%
50.0%
MIA
57
Ryan Fowler
FOX
42.86%
57.14%
50.0%
No Pick
58
Michael Fabiano
NFL
42.86%
57.14%
50.0%
MIA
59
Elliot Harrison
NFL
57.14%
42.86%
50.0%
MIA
60
NFL FAN PICKS
NFL
57.14%
42.86%
50.0%
MIA
61
Shaun O'Hara
NFL
57.14%
42.86%
50.0%
MIA
62
Mike Florio
PFT
57.14%
42.86%
50.0%
MIA
63
Gordon McGuinness
ProFootballFocus
42.86%
57.14%
50.0%
BUF
64
Rick Drummond
ProFootballFocus
42.86%
57.14%
50.0%
MIA
65
Yahoo Users
Yahoo
57.14%
42.86%
50.0%
MIA
66
Don Banks
Sports Illustrated
28.57%
71.43%
50.0%
MIA
67
Lindsay H. Jones
USA Today
57.14%
42.86%
50.0%
MIA
68
Tom Pelissero
USA Today
71.43%
28.57%
50.0%
MIA
69
Matt Smith
NFL
33.33%
60.00%
46.7%
No Pick
70
Chris Hansen
Bleacher Report
42.86%
42.86%
42.9%
MIA
71
Michael Schottey
Bleacher Report
42.86%
42.86%
42.9%
MIA
72
Mike Freeman
Bleacher Report
57.14%
28.57%
42.9%
MIA
73
Jamey Eisenberg
CBS
42.86%
42.86%
42.9%
MIA
74
Jason La Canfora
CBS
42.86%
42.86%
42.9%
BUF
75
Josh Katzowitz
CBS
42.86%
42.86%
42.9%
MIA
76
Will Brinson
CBS
42.86%
42.86%
42.9%
BUF
77
Whatifsports
FOX
42.86%
42.86%
42.9%
MIA
78
Chris Wesseling
NFL
42.86%
42.86%
42.9%
MIA
79
Heath Evans
NFL
42.86%
42.86%
42.9%
MIA
80
Melissa Stark
NFL
42.86%
42.86%
42.9%
MIA
81
Sterling Sharpe
NFL
57.14%
28.57%
42.9%
MIA
82
Steve Palazzolo
ProFootballFocus
28.57%
57.14%
42.9%
MIA
83
Adam Rank
NFL
33.33%
50.00%
41.7%
BUF
84
Brian Baldinger
NFL
33.33%
50.00%
41.7%
MIA
85
Pete Prisco
CBS
28.57%
42.86%
35.7%
MIA
86
Adam Meyer
FOX
28.57%
42.86%
35.7%
No Pick
87
John Halpin
FOX
28.57%
42.86%
35.7%
BUF
88
Kurt Warner
NFL
28.57%
42.86%
35.7%
MIA
89
Marc Sessler
NFL
28.57%
42.86%
35.7%
MIA
90
Coin Toss
None
14.29%
57.14%
35.7%
No Pick
91
Neil Hornsby
ProFootballFocus
28.57%
42.86%
35.7%
MIA
92
Frank Schwab
Yahoo
28.57%
42.86%
35.7%
MIA
93
Vinnie Iyer
Sporting News
42.86%
28.57%
35.7%
BUF
**
For more updates from Pickwatch, follow us on twitter or Facebook. We'll be back throughout the afternoon with more previews of week 16's matchups, helping you to decide who to trust in this week's biggest games.**
