Welcome to week 18!

Every week Upset Watch guides you through the underdogs with the best chances of winning.

Last week we maintained our record of picking at least 2 underdog winners in every week of the 2021 season, despite only 4 underdogs winning on the entire slate! One of those picks was a big outsider and generated a huge profit to add to the $3,000+ we've made in 2021 so far, and the season will now definitely finish in profit, and we still have a great shot at more through the postseason!

There's one more regular season week to look at.first, however.

As always, we approach every game the same way: Leave those preconceptions at the door, and make sure to analyze every potential way that any team can win and lose. We'll have a detailed analysis of every game below.

Playoff Special Offer

We know the season is winding down, but we have two reasons to subscribe. First of all, we have a special playoffs offer - subscribe to a monthly package today and we'll extend your coverage all the way through past the Super Bowl for just $5. That's less than $1 a week!

Upset Watch will be active all through the playoffs, so if there are underdogs who can win, we'll be pointing them out.

But what do you do when the season ends?

Pause Subscriptions

This week we're launching a feature to help monthly subscribers out - the ability to pause your subscriptions.

We know if you're an NFL fan who doesn't watch other sports, it can be tempting to just cancel your Pro subscription.

From this week, you'll be able to pause your subscription right through until the start of next season, or a chosen amount of time (1 month, 3 months, 6 months, or start of next season). You can reactivate it at any time if you need access during the offseason too!

During this period, you will not be charged anything at all, and the subscription will simply restart at your current rate ahead of the upcoming 2022 season start date.

One of the major advantages of this is that it protects against price rises and other factors that can impact your subscription. I think everyone understands the value of Pro, and as we add to it, some of the features may make it even more valuable. By pausing a monthly sub, you can effectively lock in at your current price for as long as you keep the subscription active!

So after this year's Super Bowl, if you want to save some money over the offseason, pause your Pro membership through your account settings!


Season Profit: 

Individual picks ($100 on each underdog win pick): +$3,030

Double Round Robin Picks ($10 on parlays of 2, covering every combination of underdog picks) +$1,412.51

Treble Round Robin Picks ($10 on parlays of 3, covering every combination of our underdog picks) +$1,727.18

Total of all parlays (doubles and trebles): +$3,139.68

A mixed bag in week 17 saw us retain an overall profit on individual picks thanks to the high value Cardinals pick, and the Steelers victory on Monday Night. Those two meant that although we went 2-3, the odds saw us in profit for the week.

The final weeks of the season are always tricky, but the good news is that the playoffs start next week, and that means there will be upsets to sift through. We've had a good record in playoffs over the years, as the added focus on fewer games suits my level of detail, but it'll be a shame to wave goodbye to some of our losing teams like Houston, Washington and Miami who have helped contribute to a great season.

This week, there's an interesting note about the number of upsets that our Pro readers can read. Remember, this is our first ever week 18 finale, and the data is going to be interesting to gauge vs what happens.


Week 18 Picks


Upset Watch is for Pro subscribers only!

We're offering full access through the 2021 playoffs and the entire 2022 season + postseason for just $25! Simply select the annual package from the link below and enter the code, and you'll gain access through February of 2023 for just $25, negating any price changes in that time!

Code: UPSET22