Hello again! It is terrific to be back with NFL Pickwatch for a fourth consecutive season. I have been doing straight up NFL picks since 2014 and over the past three years added in confidence levels. That will be the format this year as well.

Before we get started, here is a quick summary of last year’s performance. My 2022 picks with a confidence level of 1-5 ended the regular season with a 119-64-1 (65.0 percent) record. The picks with a 6+ confidence level closed the regular season with a 58-28-1 (67.4 percent) mark. My overall record was 177-92-2 (65.8 percent), a win rate that ranked tied for 14th among the hundreds of analysts that NFL Pickwatch tracks. The playoff picks went 8-5 overall, with the picks of a 6+ confidence level going 5-2.

This year’s picks will be available exclusively to Pickwatch Pro subscribers. Pickwatch Pro is a great service that allows subscribers to download the best expert data in the industry, see team-by-team winners for every expert, and provides access to Upset Watch, which has been the ultimate cheat code to beat the sportsbooks over the last seven years. Combine those elements with my picks, and it makes for a must-subscribe service for anyone serious about betting.

Now let’s get to this week’s picks!