The Packers and Steelers are in a phase where they are breaking away from their trends over the first three quarters of the season. Thankfully for pickers, Matt Flynn has been steadily better in each of his starts at QB, so what could have been a potential slip up waiting to happen has swung slightly more in favor of Green Bay. Snow is forecast so as always, beware any team that can't adapt to those conditions easily...
Pittsburgh @ Green Bay (4:25pm)
**Matchup Difficulty: 52.5% **(the higher the score, the better the experts' success rate when picking these two teams. An 'average' matchup would be 62%)
Consensus: ** Green Bay 66%**
Top 5 Overall: **Pittsburgh 60**%
**
Best Pick Index:**
**
This matchup has a lot of disagreement, having the second-lowest expert consensus of all the week 16 games. In terms of who to trust, the signals are suitably miced. The consensus is in favor Green Bay, the top 5 have gone towards Pittsburgh, but the best pickers of these two teams (outlined below) are generally leaning towards Green Bay. Chris Law has a matchup-leading 92% hit rate picking these two franchises in 2013, and when you consider how difficult they have been to predict in the context of injuries to key players, that's good enough for me...**
Pittsburgh
Green Bay
Rank
Expert
Affiliation
Road %
Home %
Overall
Pick
1
Chris Law
NFL
100.00%
83.33%
92%
GBP
2
Steve Palazzolo
ProFootballFocus
85.71%
83.33%
85%
GBP
3
Brad Gagnon
Bleacher Report
71.43%
83.33%
77%
GBP
4
Tyson Langland
Bleacher Report
71.43%
83.33%
77%
GBP
5
Mike Ditka
ESPN
71.43%
83.33%
77%
PIT
6
Heath Evans
NFL
71.43%
83.33%
77%
PIT
7
Ben Stockwell
ProFootballFocus
71.43%
83.33%
77%
GBP
8
Pete O'Brien
USA Today
71.43%
83.33%
77%
PIT
9
Michael Schottey
Bleacher Report
85.71%
66.67%
76%
GBP
10
Jamey Eisenberg
CBS
85.71%
66.67%
76%
GBP
11
Nathan Jahnke
ProFootballFocus
85.71%
66.67%
76%
GBP
12
Sam Monson
ProFootballFocus
85.71%
66.67%
76%
GBP
13
Chris Hansen
Bleacher Report
57.14%
83.33%
70%
GBP
14
Jason La Canfora
CBS
57.14%
83.33%
70%
GBP
15
Chris Brockman
NFL
57.14%
83.33%
70%
GBP
16
Dave Damashek
NFL
57.14%
83.33%
70%
GBP
17
Henry Hodgson
NFL
57.14%
83.33%
70%
PIT
18
Kevin Patra
NFL
57.14%
83.33%
70%
PIT
19
Mike Florio
PFT
57.14%
83.33%
70%
GBP
20
Jim Corbett
USA Today
57.14%
83.33%
70%
GBP
21
Nate Davis
USA Today
57.14%
83.33%
70%
GBP
22
Andrea Hangst
Bleacher Report
71.43%
66.67%
69%
PIT
23
Dave Richard
CBS
71.43%
66.67%
69%
GBP
24
Keyshawn Johnson
ESPN
71.43%
66.67%
69%
GBP
25
Pick ‘em
ESPN
71.43%
66.67%
69%
GBP
26
Ron Jaworski
ESPN
71.43%
66.67%
69%
PIT
27
Adam Meyer
FOX
71.43%
66.67%
69%
PIT
28
Joel Beall
FOX
71.43%
66.67%
69%
PIT
29
Melissa Stark
NFL
71.43%
66.67%
69%
GBP
30
NFL FAN PICKS
NFL
71.43%
66.67%
69%
GBP
31
Coin Toss
None
71.43%
66.67%
69%
PIT
32
Pickwatch
Pickwatch
71.43%
66.67%
69%
GBP
33
Rick Drummond
ProFootballFocus
71.43%
66.67%
69%
PIT
34
Yahoo Users
Yahoo
71.43%
66.67%
69%
GBP
35
Lindsay H. Jones
USA Today
71.43%
66.67%
69%
PIT
36
Tom Pelissero
USA Today
71.43%
66.67%
69%
GBP
37
Simon Samano
USA Today
71.43%
66.67%
69%
PIT
38
Accuscore
Accuscore
71.43%
66.67%
69%
PIT
39
Marshall Faulk
NFL
57.14%
80.00%
69%
PIT
40
Ryan Fowler
FOX
66.67%
66.67%
67%
No Pick
41
Adam Rank
NFL
60.00%
66.67%
63%
GBP
42
Matt Miller
Bleacher Report
42.86%
83.33%
63%
GBP
43
Pete Prisco
CBS
42.86%
83.33%
63%
GBP
44
Prediction Machine
CBS
42.86%
83.33%
63%
GBP
45
Elliot Harrison
NFL
42.86%
83.33%
63%
GBP
46
Kurt Warner
NFL
42.86%
83.33%
63%
PIT
47
Neil Hornsby
ProFootballFocus
42.86%
83.33%
63%
GBP
48
Vinnie Iyer
Sporting News
42.86%
83.33%
63%
GBP
49
Adam Schefter
ESPN
57.14%
66.67%
62%
GBP
50
Cris Carter
ESPN
57.14%
66.67%
62%
PIT
51
Eric Allen
ESPN
57.14%
66.67%
62%
PIT
52
Mark Schlereth
ESPN
57.14%
66.67%
62%
GBP
53
Mike Golic
ESPN
57.14%
66.67%
62%
GBP
54
Tom Jackson
ESPN
57.14%
66.67%
62%
PIT
55
Matt Smith
NFL
57.14%
66.67%
62%
No Pick
56
Michael Silver
NFL
57.14%
66.67%
62%
GBP
57
Steve Mariucci
NFL
57.14%
66.67%
62%
PIT
58
Gordon McGuinness
ProFootballFocus
57.14%
66.67%
62%
GBP
59
Khaled Elsayed
ProFootballFocus
57.14%
66.67%
62%
PIT
60
Jarrett Bell
USA Today
57.14%
66.67%
62%
PIT
61
Zach Kruse
Bleacher Report
71.43%
50.00%
61%
GBP
62
Seth Wickersham
ESPN
71.43%
50.00%
61%
GBP
63
John Halpin
FOX
71.43%
50.00%
61%
GBP
64
Steve Wyche
NFL
57.14%
60.00%
59%
GBP
65
Brian Baldinger
NFL
50.00%
66.67%
58%
GBP
66
Knox Bardeen
Bleacher Report
28.57%
83.33%
56%
GBP
67
John Breech
CBS
42.86%
66.67%
55%
PIT
68
Will Brinson
CBS
42.86%
66.67%
55%
PIT
69
Merill Hoge
ESPN
42.86%
66.67%
55%
PIT
70
Whatifsports
FOX
42.86%
66.67%
55%
GBP
71
Chris Wesseling
NFL
42.86%
66.67%
55%
GBP
72
Michael Irvin
NFL
42.86%
66.67%
55%
PIT
73
Sterling Sharpe
NFL
42.86%
66.67%
55%
GBP
74
Michael David Smith
PFT
42.86%
66.67%
55%
GBP
75
Frank Schwab
Yahoo
42.86%
66.67%
55%
GBP
76
Don Banks
Sports Illustrated
42.86%
66.67%
55%
GBP
77
Matt Bowen
Bleacher Report
57.14%
50.00%
54%
GBP
78
Gregg Rosenthal
NFL
57.14%
50.00%
54%
PIT
79
Warren Sapp
NFL
57.14%
50.00%
54%
PIT
80
Chris Mortensen
ESPN
71.43%
33.33%
52%
PIT
81
Les Carpenter
Yahoo
42.86%
60.00%
51%
No Pick
82
Mike Freeman
Bleacher Report
28.57%
66.67%
48%
GBP
83
Josh Katzowitz
CBS
28.57%
66.67%
48%
PIT
84
Dan Hanzus
NFL
28.57%
66.67%
48%
PIT
85
Marc Sessler
NFL
28.57%
66.67%
48%
GBP
86
Rich Eisen
NFL
28.57%
66.67%
48%
GBP
87
Black Tie
NFL
28.57%
66.67%
48%
GBP
88
Erik Frenz
Bleacher Report
42.86%
50.00%
46%
GBP
89
Michael Fabiano
NFL
42.86%
50.00%
46%
GBP
90
Shaun O'Hara
NFL
42.86%
50.00%
46%
GBP
91
Ty Schalter
Bleacher Report
71.43%
16.67%
44%
GBP
92
K.C. Joyner
ESPN
14.29%
66.67%
40%
GBP
93
Ryan Wilson
CBS
28.57%
50.00%
39%
GBP
For more updates from Pickwatch, follow us on twitter or Facebook. We'll be back throughout the afternoon with more previews of week 16's matchups, helping you to decide who to trust in this week's biggest games.
