If the Patriots proved one thing in week 15, it was that defensively, their injuries have taken such a toll that they are now at the very limit of their personnel capabilities. They have an uncanny knack of stepping up when their backs are against the wall, but the NFL analysts back Baltimore this week despite some less than inspiring performances against lesser opponents.

New England @ Baltimore (4:25pm)

**Matchup Difficulty: 58.5% **(the higher the score, the better the experts' success rate when picking these two teams. An 'average' matchup would be 62%)

Consensus: ** Baltimore 69%**

Top 5 Overall: Baltimore** 60**%
**
Best Pick Index:**
**
The Ravens have a clear edge with experts this week, and they also have the support of the best pro pickers. Melissa Stark - who by all accounts appears to know more about the NFL than her Gameday First colleagues Shaun O'Hara and Sterling Sharpe - has a good record, but even going further down to those with over 75%, the Patriots have little support. The good news for Patriots fans is that Joel Beall is one of the very best at picking tight games, so his New England pick cannot be discounted.**

New England

Baltimore

Rank

Expert

Affiliation

Road %

Home %

Overall

Pick

1

Melissa Stark

NFL

85.71%

85.71%

85.7%

BAL

2

Andrea Hangst

Bleacher Report

85.71%

71.43%

78.6%

BAL

3

Brad Gagnon

Bleacher Report

57.14%

100.00%

78.6%

BAL

4

Ron Jaworski

ESPN

57.14%

100.00%

78.6%

BAL

5

Joel Beall

FOX

57.14%

100.00%

78.6%

NEP

6

Gordon McGuinness

ProFootballFocus

71.43%

85.71%

78.6%

BAL

7

Sam Monson

ProFootballFocus

57.14%

100.00%

78.6%

BAL

8

Marshall Faulk

NFL

85.71%

66.67%

76.2%

BAL

9

Prediction Machine

CBS

71.43%

71.43%

71.4%

BAL

10

Mike Golic

ESPN

71.43%

71.43%

71.4%

BAL

11

Michael David Smith

PFT

71.43%

71.43%

71.4%

BAL

12

Nathan Jahnke

ProFootballFocus

71.43%

71.43%

71.4%

BAL

13

Jim Corbett

USA Today

71.43%

71.43%

71.4%

BAL

14

Chris Hansen

Bleacher Report

57.14%

85.71%

71.4%

BAL

15

Dave Richard

CBS

57.14%

85.71%

71.4%

BAL

16

Ryan Wilson

CBS

57.14%

85.71%

71.4%

BAL

17

Gregg Rosenthal

NFL

57.14%

85.71%

71.4%

NEP

18

Matt Smith

NFL

40.00%

100.00%

70.0%

No Pick

19

Mike Freeman

Bleacher Report

57.14%

71.43%

64.3%

BAL

20

Jason La Canfora

CBS

71.43%

57.14%

64.3%

BAL

21

Pete Prisco

CBS

57.14%

71.43%

64.3%

NEP

22

Will Brinson

CBS

57.14%

71.43%

64.3%

BAL

23

Chris Mortensen

ESPN

42.86%

85.71%

64.3%

BAL

24

Seth Wickersham

ESPN

42.86%

85.71%

64.3%

BAL

25

John Halpin

FOX

57.14%

71.43%

64.3%

NEP

26

Whatifsports

FOX

57.14%

71.43%

64.3%

NEP

27

Chris Brockman

NFL

57.14%

71.43%

64.3%

BAL

28

Dan Hanzus

NFL

57.14%

71.43%

64.3%

BAL

29

Heath Evans

NFL

57.14%

71.43%

64.3%

NEP

30

Henry Hodgson

NFL

57.14%

71.43%

64.3%

BAL

31

NFL FAN PICKS

NFL

57.14%

71.43%

64.3%

NEP

32

Shaun O'Hara

NFL

57.14%

71.43%

64.3%

BAL

33

Mike Florio

PFT

57.14%

71.43%

64.3%

BAL

34

Khaled Elsayed

ProFootballFocus

57.14%

71.43%

64.3%

NEP

35

Steve Palazzolo

ProFootballFocus

57.14%

71.43%

64.3%

NEP

36

Frank Schwab

Yahoo

71.43%

57.14%

64.3%

NEP

37

Jarrett Bell

USA Today

42.86%

85.71%

64.3%

BAL

38

Pete O'Brien

USA Today

42.86%

85.71%

64.3%

BAL

39

Accuscore

Accuscore

42.86%

85.71%

64.3%

BAL

40

Ryan Fowler

FOX

42.86%

83.33%

63.1%

No Pick

41

Matt Bowen

Bleacher Report

42.86%

71.43%

57.1%

NEP

42

Michael Schottey

Bleacher Report

57.14%

57.14%

57.1%

NEP

43

Ty Schalter

Bleacher Report

85.71%

28.57%

57.1%

NEP

44

Tyson Langland

Bleacher Report

42.86%

71.43%

57.1%

BAL

45

John Breech

CBS

57.14%

57.14%

57.1%

NEP

46

Adam Schefter

ESPN

42.86%

71.43%

57.1%

BAL

47

K.C. Joyner

ESPN

57.14%

57.14%

57.1%

BAL

48

Keyshawn Johnson

ESPN

57.14%

57.14%

57.1%

BAL

49

Pick ‘em

ESPN

42.86%

71.43%

57.1%

NEP

50

Tom Jackson

ESPN

57.14%

57.14%

57.1%

BAL

51

Adam Rank

NFL

57.14%

57.14%

57.1%

NEP

52

Michael Fabiano

NFL

42.86%

71.43%

57.1%

BAL

53

Chris Law

NFL

57.14%

57.14%

57.1%

BAL

54

Chris Wesseling

NFL

71.43%

42.86%

57.1%

BAL

55

Dave Damashek

NFL

42.86%

71.43%

57.1%

NEP

56

Kevin Patra

NFL

57.14%

57.14%

57.1%

BAL

57

Michael Silver

NFL

42.86%

71.43%

57.1%

BAL

58

Steve Mariucci

NFL

42.86%

71.43%

57.1%

NEP

59

Warren Sapp

NFL

57.14%

57.14%

57.1%

BAL

60

Ben Stockwell

ProFootballFocus

57.14%

57.14%

57.1%

BAL

61

Neil Hornsby

ProFootballFocus

57.14%

57.14%

57.1%

BAL

62

Rick Drummond

ProFootballFocus

57.14%

57.14%

57.1%

NEP

63

Yahoo Users

Yahoo

42.86%

71.43%

57.1%

NEP

64

Vinnie Iyer

Sporting News

57.14%

57.14%

57.1%

BAL

65

Don Banks

Sports Illustrated

42.86%

71.43%

57.1%

BAL

66

Lindsay H. Jones

USA Today

42.86%

71.43%

57.1%

BAL

67

Brian Baldinger

NFL

40.00%

66.67%

53.3%

BAL

68

Erik Frenz

Bleacher Report

57.14%

42.86%

50.0%

NEP

69

Knox Bardeen

Bleacher Report

42.86%

57.14%

50.0%

NEP

70

Matt Miller

Bleacher Report

57.14%

42.86%

50.0%

NEP

71

Zach Kruse

Bleacher Report

42.86%

57.14%

50.0%

BAL

72

Jamey Eisenberg

CBS

28.57%

71.43%

50.0%

NEP

73

Cris Carter

ESPN

28.57%

71.43%

50.0%

BAL

74

Mark Schlereth

ESPN

42.86%

57.14%

50.0%

BAL

75

Mike Ditka

ESPN

57.14%

42.86%

50.0%

BAL

76

Adam Meyer

FOX

42.86%

57.14%

50.0%

NEP

77

Elliot Harrison

NFL

42.86%

57.14%

50.0%

BAL

78

Kurt Warner

NFL

42.86%

57.14%

50.0%

BAL

79

Marc Sessler

NFL

57.14%

42.86%

50.0%

BAL

80

Rich Eisen

NFL

28.57%

71.43%

50.0%

BAL

81

Sterling Sharpe

NFL

42.86%

57.14%

50.0%

NEP

82

Pickwatch

Pickwatch

42.86%

57.14%

50.0%

BAL

83

Black Tie

NFL

42.86%

57.14%

50.0%

BAL

84

Nate Davis

USA Today

42.86%

57.14%

50.0%

BAL

85

Tom Pelissero

USA Today

28.57%

71.43%

50.0%

BAL

86

Simon Samano

USA Today

42.86%

57.14%

50.0%

NEP

87

Steve Wyche

NFL

66.67%

28.57%

47.6%

BAL

88

Josh Katzowitz

CBS

42.86%

42.86%

42.9%

NEP

89

Merill Hoge

ESPN

28.57%

57.14%

42.9%

BAL

90

Eric Allen

ESPN

28.57%

42.86%

35.7%

BAL

91

Les Carpenter

Yahoo

33.33%

33.33%

33.3%

No Pick

92

Michael Irvin

NFL

28.57%

28.57%

28.6%

BAL

93

Coin Toss

None

42.86%

14.29%

28.6%

BAL

For more updates from Pickwatch, follow us on twitter or Facebook. We'll be back throughout the afternoon with more previews of week 16's matchups, helping you to decide who to trust in this week's biggest games.

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