Week 15 Preview: Expert NFL Picks – Buffalo Bills @ Jacksonville Jaguars


Don’t look now, but the last few weeks have set the Bills back quite a way. Doug Marrone’s job isn’t quite at risk yet, but a poor finish to the season would basically put him on the hot seat from week one of 2014. On the flip side, with 4 wins out of the last 5 games, Gus Bradley looks like he has harnessed some of the moderate ability within the Jags and turned it into a machine that is greater than the sum of it’s parts. Remember how little talent is on this Jags team, because if Bradley leads them to 7-9, that will be one of the best head coaching jobs of the season.

MOUNT UP…


Buffalo @ Jacksonville(13.00pm ET)


Matchup Difficulty: 62.5% (the higher the score, the better the experts’ success rate when picking these two teams. An ‘average’ matchup would be 62%
Consensus:  Jacksonville 81%
Top 5 Overall:  Buffalo 60%

Key Injuries:

Buffalo:

Kiko Alonso, LB Questionable*

*Alonso was a turnover machine earlier in the year and the Bills’ leading tackler with 139 on the season, second most in the league.

Miami:

Maurice Jones-Drew, RB, Doubtful
Cecil Shorts III, WR, Questionable
Jordan Todman, RB, Probable*
John Cyprien, S, Doubtful**

* Todman will start in the (likely) scenario that MJD does not play.
**Cyprien has 89 tackles on the season, second only to Paul Posluzny.

Best Pick Index:

Table is sorted by overall success rate when picking these two teams on the road and at home. 

Buffalo Jacksonville
Rank Expert Affiliation Road % Home % Overall Pick
1 Erik Frenz Bleacher Report 83.33% 100.00% 91.7% JAX
2 Matt Bowen Bleacher Report 83.33% 100.00% 91.7% JAX
3 Jason La Canfora CBS 83.33% 100.00% 91.7% JAX
4 Josh Katzowitz CBS 83.33% 100.00% 91.7% JAX
5 Pete Prisco CBS 83.33% 100.00% 91.7% JAX
6 K.C. Joyner ESPN 83.33% 100.00% 91.7% JAX
7 Keyshawn Johnson ESPN 83.33% 100.00% 91.7% JAX
8 Merill Hoge ESPN 100.00% 83.33% 91.7% JAX
9 Seth Wickersham ESPN 100.00% 83.33% 91.7% JAX
10 Brian Baldinger NFL 83.33% 100.00% 91.7% No Pick
11 Chris Brockman NFL 83.33% 100.00% 91.7% JAX
12 Gregg Rosenthal NFL 100.00% 83.33% 91.7% BUF
13 Heath Evans NFL 83.33% 100.00% 91.7% JAX
14 Marc Sessler NFL 100.00% 83.33% 91.7% JAX
15 Matt Smith NFL 83.33% 100.00% 91.7% JAX
16 Rich Eisen NFL 83.33% 100.00% 91.7% JAX
17 Steve Mariucci NFL 83.33% 100.00% 91.7% JAX
18 Nathan Jahnke ProFootballFocus 83.33% 100.00% 91.7% JAX
19 Frank Schwab Yahoo 83.33% 100.00% 91.7% JAX
20 Lindsay H. Jones USA Today 83.33% 100.00% 91.7% JAX
21 Pete O’Brien USA Today 83.33% 100.00% 91.7% JAX
22 Tyson Langland Bleacher Report 83.33% 83.33% 83.3% JAX
23 Ryan Wilson CBS 83.33% 83.33% 83.3% JAX
24 Will Brinson CBS 83.33% 83.33% 83.3% JAX
25 Eric Allen ESPN 83.33% 83.33% 83.3% JAX
26 Ron Jaworski ESPN 83.33% 83.33% 83.3% JAX
27 John Halpin FOX 83.33% 83.33% 83.3% BUF
28 Dan Hanzus NFL 83.33% 83.33% 83.3% JAX
29 Henry Hodgson NFL 83.33% 83.33% 83.3% JAX
30 Steve Wyche NFL 83.33% 83.33% 83.3% JAX
31 Michael David Smith PFT 83.33% 83.33% 83.3% BUF
32 Gordon McGuinness ProFootballFocus 83.33% 83.33% 83.3% JAX
33 Neil Hornsby ProFootballFocus 83.33% 83.33% 83.3% JAX
34 Rick Drummond ProFootballFocus 83.33% 83.33% 83.3% JAX
35 Steve Palazzolo ProFootballFocus 83.33% 83.33% 83.3% JAX
36 Don Banks Sports Illustrated 83.33% 83.33% 83.3% JAX
37 Jarrett Bell USA Today 83.33% 83.33% 83.3% JAX
38 Nate Davis USA Today 83.33% 83.33% 83.3% BUF
39 Brad Gagnon Bleacher Report 66.67% 100.00% 83.3% JAX
40 Ty Schalter Bleacher Report 66.67% 100.00% 83.3% BUF
41 Zach Kruse Bleacher Report 66.67% 100.00% 83.3% JAX
42 Jamey Eisenberg CBS 66.67% 100.00% 83.3% JAX
43 Cris Carter ESPN 66.67% 100.00% 83.3% JAX
44 Mark Schlereth ESPN 66.67% 100.00% 83.3% JAX
45 Tom Jackson ESPN 66.67% 100.00% 83.3% JAX
46 Michael Fabiano NFL 66.67% 100.00% 83.3% JAX
47 Chris Law NFL 66.67% 100.00% 83.3% JAX
48 Melissa Stark NFL 66.67% 100.00% 83.3% JAX
49 Michael Silver NFL 66.67% 100.00% 83.3% JAX
50 Sterling Sharpe NFL 66.67% 100.00% 83.3% JAX
51 Warren Sapp NFL 66.67% 100.00% 83.3% No Pick
52 Mike Florio PFT 66.67% 100.00% 83.3% JAX
53 Vinnie Iyer Sporting News 66.67% 100.00% 83.3% JAX
54 Jim Corbett USA Today 66.67% 100.00% 83.3% JAX
55 Marshall Faulk NFL 80.00% 83.33% 81.7% No Pick
56 Chris Hansen Bleacher Report 66.67% 83.33% 75.0% JAX
57 Knox Bardeen Bleacher Report 66.67% 83.33% 75.0% BUF
58 Matt Miller Bleacher Report 66.67% 83.33% 75.0% JAX
59 Michael Schottey Bleacher Report 66.67% 83.33% 75.0% JAX
60 Dave Richard CBS 50.00% 100.00% 75.0% JAX
61 John Breech CBS 66.67% 83.33% 75.0% JAX
62 Prediction Machine CBS 66.67% 83.33% 75.0% BUF
63 Adam Schefter ESPN 50.00% 100.00% 75.0% BUF
64 Chris Mortensen ESPN 66.67% 83.33% 75.0% JAX
65 Mike Golic ESPN 66.67% 83.33% 75.0% JAX
66 Pick ‘em ESPN 66.67% 83.33% 75.0% JAX
67 Adam Meyer FOX 50.00% 100.00% 75.0% BUF
68 Joel Beall FOX 66.67% 83.33% 75.0% JAX
69 Whatifsports FOX 66.67% 83.33% 75.0% BUF
70 Elliot Harrison NFL 66.67% 83.33% 75.0% JAX
71 Kevin Patra NFL 83.33% 66.67% 75.0% JAX
72 Michael Irvin NFL 50.00% 100.00% 75.0% No Pick
73 NFL FAN PICKS NFL 66.67% 83.33% 75.0% JAX
74 Shaun O’Hara NFL 66.67% 83.33% 75.0% BUF
75 Pickwatch  Pickwatch 66.67% 83.33% 75.0% JAX
76 Ben Stockwell ProFootballFocus 66.67% 83.33% 75.0% JAX
77 Sam Monson ProFootballFocus 83.33% 66.67% 75.0% JAX
78 Yahoo Users Yahoo 66.67% 83.33% 75.0% JAX
79 Black Tie NFL 66.67% 83.33% 75.0% BUF
80 Tom Pelissero USA Today 50.00% 100.00% 75.0% JAX
81 Simon Samano USA Today 83.33% 66.67% 75.0% JAX
82 Accuscore Accuscore 66.67% 83.33% 75.0% JAX
83 Mike Freeman Bleacher Report 50.00% 83.33% 66.7% JAX
84 Ryan Fowler FOX 50.00% 83.33% 66.7% BUF
85 Kurt Warner NFL 50.00% 83.33% 66.7% No Pick
86 Mike Ditka ESPN 33.33% 100.00% 66.7% JAX
87 Chris Wesseling NFL 66.67% 66.67% 66.7% JAX
88 Adam Rank NFL 50.00% 80.00% 65.0% BUF
89 Dave Damashek NFL 60.00% 66.67% 63.3% BUF
90 Les Carpenter Yahoo 60.00% 60.00% 60.0% No Pick
91 Andrea Hangst Bleacher Report 33.33% 83.33% 58.3% JAX
92 Khaled Elsayed ProFootballFocus 16.67% 83.33% 50.0% BUF
93 Coin Toss  None 33.33% 16.67% 25.0% JAX

For more updates from Pickwatch, follow us on twitter or Facebook. Check back for more previews of week 15’s matchups, helping you to decide who to trust in this week’s biggest games. Missing picks will be updated… well, they’ll be updated when the picks are actually made!


About Shaun Lowrie

Shaun Lowrie is the founder and editor of Pickwatch, a site designed to give you a new perspective on experts in the NFL media by tracking their performance when picking games or predicting draft picks, team performance, or player potential. You can contact him at [email protected] or on twitter at @pickwatch

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