Week 15 NFL Against the Spread Expert Picks: Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots


Pickwatch is about more than just listing picks – in our weekly matchup breakdowns we rank experts by their against the spread accuracy, highlight those who pick just these two teams best, and show you how hard it has been on average to predict them at home and on the road.

Kick off: Sunday 1pm
Venue: Gillette Stadium, NE
TV: CBS
Line: NE -7.5
Patriots Home vs Spread: 4-2 (Streak W3)
Dolphins Road vs Spread: 4-3 (Streak L1)

KEY:
Overall: The expert’s overall correct pick %  picking this team’s games vs the closing spread
Home: The expert’s correct pick % picking only this team’s home games vs the closing spread
Road: The expert’s correct pick % picking only this team’s road games vs the closing spread
GREENThe expert(s) with the best combined correct pick percentage when picking the road team on the road, and the home team at home



Miami Dolphins  MIA @ New England Patriots  NE
Rank Expert Affiliation Overall Home Road Pick Rank Expert Affiliation Overall Home Road Pick
1 Tim Cowlishaw DallasNews.com 68% 50% 86% MIA 1 Kimberley A Martin Newsday 86% 100% 71% NE
2 Bill Simmons Grantland 60% 33% 86% NE 2 Dave Tuley ESPN 67% 100% 33% MIA
3 Sam Farmer LA Times 77% 83% 71% MIA 3 Michael Whitmer Boston Globe 77% 83% 71% NE
4 Walterfootball Walterfootball 77% 83% 71% NE 4 David Moore DallasNews.com 63% 83% 43% NE
5 Neil Greenberg Washington Post 77% 83% 71% NE 5 Consensus Pick Pickwatch 76% 67% 86% NE
6 Ben Volin Boston Globe 69% 67% 71% NE 6 Ben Volin Boston Globe 69% 67% 71% NE
7 Teamrankings Teamrankings 69% 67% 71% MIA 7 Christopher Gasper Boston Globe 69% 67% 71% NE
8 Christopher Gasper Boston Globe 61% 50% 71% NE 8 Craig Miller DallasNews.com 69% 67% 71% NE
9 Kevin Sherrington DallasNews.com 52% 33% 71% NE 9 Jim McBride Boston Globe 62% 67% 57% NE
10 Numberfire Numberfire 52% 33% 71% MIA 10 FiveThirtyEight FiveThirtyEight 62% 67% 57% NE
11 FiveThirtyEight FiveThirtyEight 44% 17% 71% NE 11 John Boell Newsday 62% 67% 57% MIA
12 Bob Glauber Newsday 63% 60% 67% NE 12 Ryan Wilson CBS 55% 67% 43% NE
13 Tom Rock Newsday 46% 25% 67% NE 13 Tim Cowlishaw DallasNews.com 55% 67% 43% MIA
14 Pickwatch Pickwatch 55% 50% 60% NE 14 Numberfire Numberfire 55% 67% 43% MIA
15 Rainer Sabin DallasNews.com 62% 67% 57% MIA 15 Walterfootball Walterfootball 55% 67% 43% NE
16 Chase Keefer Las Vegas Sun 62% 67% 57% MIA 16 Sean Leahy Boston Globe 53% 67% 40%
17 Vic Tafur SFGate 62% 67% 57% MIA 17 Dana Larson DallasNews.com 75% 50% 100% MIA
18 Frank Schwab Yahoo 62% 67% 57% MIA 18 Rainer Sabin DallasNews.com 75% 50% 100% MIA
19 John Breech CBS 54% 50% 57% NE 19 John Breech CBS 68% 50% 86% NE
20 Mario Mergola XNSports/AOL 54% 50% 57% MIA 20 Mario Mergola XNSports/AOL 68% 50% 86% MIA
21 Dave Richard CBS 45% 33% 57% NE 21 Jamey Eisenberg CBS 61% 50% 71% NE
22 David Moore DallasNews.com 45% 33% 57% NE 22 Bob Glauber Newsday 61% 50% 71% NE
23 Craig Miller DallasNews.com 37% 17% 57% NE 23 Shalise Young Boston Globe 54% 50% 57% NE
24 Consensus Pick Pickwatch 58% 67% 50% NE 24 Jason La Canfora CBS 54% 50% 57% NE
25 Kimberley A Martin Newsday 55% 60% 50% NE 25 Josh Katzowitz CBS 54% 50% 57% MIA
26 Pete Prisco CBS 63% 83% 43% NE 26 Brandon George DallasNews.com 54% 50% 57% MIA
27 Brandon George DallasNews.com 63% 83% 43% MIA 27 Teamrankings Teamrankings 46% 50% 43% MIA
28 Dana Larson DallasNews.com 63% 83% 43% MIA 28 Will Brinson CBS 39% 50% 29% NE
29 Michael Whitmer Boston Globe 55% 67% 43% NE 29 Bill Simmons Grantland 39% 50% 29% NE
30 Will Brinson CBS 55% 67% 43% NE 30 Chase Keefer Las Vegas Sun 39% 50% 29% MIA
31 Jason La Canfora CBS 38% 33% 43% NE 31 Rick Gosselin DallasNews.com 32% 50% 14% MIA
32 Rick Gosselin DallasNews.com 38% 33% 43% MIA 32 Pickwatch Pickwatch 70% 40% 100% NE
33 Jim McBride Boston Globe 30% 17% 43% NE 33 Frank Schwab Yahoo 49% 40% 57% MIA
34 Shalise Young Boston Globe 30% 17% 43% NE 34 Pete Prisco CBS 52% 33% 71% NE
35 Newy Scruggs DallasNews.com 30% 17% 43% NE 35 Kevin Sherrington DallasNews.com 45% 33% 57% NE
36 Sean Leahy Boston Globe 37% 40% 33% 36 Sam Farmer LA Times 45% 33% 57% MIA
37 John Boell Newsday 44% 60% 29% MIA 37 Neil Greenberg Washington Post 45% 33% 57% NE
38 Jamey Eisenberg CBS 39% 50% 29% NE 38 Newy Scruggs DallasNews.com 38% 33% 43% NE
39 Ryan Wilson CBS 39% 50% 29% NE 39 Dave Richard CBS 31% 33% 29% NE
40 Josh Katzowitz CBS 31% 33% 29% MIA 40 Tom Rock Newsday 41% 25% 57% NE
41 Dave Tuley ESPN 38% 50% 25% MIA 41 Vic Tafur SFGate 24% 20% 29% MIA
Average Home Road Average Home Road
53% 51% 54% 56% 55% 57%