The Bills ride into Tampa on the back of a rough few games, so a matchup against the resurgent Bucs would seem less than ideal, particularly as they thrive on making defensive plays. Here's Pickwatch's guide to how the experts have picked this week's NFL matchups...
Buffalo @ Tampa Bay (1pm ET)
Matchup Difficulty: 62% (the higher the average score, the better the experts' success rate when picking these two teams)
Consensus: Tampa Bay 83%
Top 5 Overall: *Tampa Bay *100%
**Here at Pickwatch we're constantly striving to make it easier for you to work out which experts to trust for each team. Without further ado, let's give a debut to our latest statistical breakdown, the 'Best Pick Index'.
The index takes the home and road records of each expert in every matchup and calculates who has the best record overall, before then allowing you to easily see who has picked each team.**
Buffalo
Tampa Bay
Rank
Expert
Affiliation
Road %
Home %
Overall:
Pick
1
Keyshawn Johnson
ESPN
80.00%
100.00%
90.0%
TBB
2
Mark Schlereth
ESPN
80.00%
100.00%
90.0%
BUF
3
Chris Mortensen
ESPN
80.00%
83.33%
81.7%
TBB
4
Mike Golic
ESPN
80.00%
83.33%
81.7%
TBB
5
Rich Eisen
NFL
80.00%
83.33%
81.7%
TBB
6
Neil Hornsby
ProFootballFocus
80.00%
83.33%
81.7%
TBB
7
Rick Drummond
ProFootballFocus
80.00%
83.33%
81.7%
TBB
8
Jason La Canfora
CBS
60.00%
100.00%
80.0%
TBB
9
Ryan Wilson
CBS
60.00%
100.00%
80.0%
TBB
10
Chris Brockman
NFL
60.00%
100.00%
80.0%
TBB
11
Dave Damashek
NFL
60.00%
100.00%
80.0%
TBB
12
Marshall Faulk
NFL
60.00%
100.00%
80.0%
No Pick
13
Black Tie
NFL
60.00%
100.00%
80.0%
TBB
14
Jim Corbett
USA Today
60.00%
100.00%
80.0%
BUF
15
Nate Davis
USA Today
60.00%
100.00%
80.0%
TBB
16
Josh Katzowitz
CBS
80.00%
66.67%
73.3%
BUF
17
Seth Wickersham
ESPN
80.00%
66.67%
73.3%
TBB
18
Joel Beall
FOX
80.00%
66.67%
73.3%
No Pick
19
John Halpin
FOX
80.00%
66.67%
73.3%
TBB
20
Chris Wesseling
NFL
80.00%
66.67%
73.3%
TBB
21
Dan Hanzus
NFL
80.00%
66.67%
73.3%
TBB
22
Marc Sessler
NFL
80.00%
66.67%
73.3%
TBB
23
Matt Smith
NFL
80.00%
66.67%
73.3%
No Pick
24
Michael Irvin
NFL
80.00%
66.67%
73.3%
TBB
25
Sterling Sharpe
NFL
80.00%
66.67%
73.3%
TBB
26
Don Banks
Sports Illustrated
80.00%
66.67%
73.3%
TBB
27
Matt Bowen
Bleacher Report
60.00%
83.33%
71.7%
TBB
28
Tyson Langland
Bleacher Report
60.00%
83.33%
71.7%
TBB
29
Zach Kruse
Bleacher Report
60.00%
83.33%
71.7%
TBB
30
John Breech
CBS
60.00%
83.33%
71.7%
TBB
31
Adam Schefter
ESPN
60.00%
83.33%
71.7%
BUF
32
Merill Hoge
ESPN
60.00%
83.33%
71.7%
TBB
33
Mike Ditka
ESPN
60.00%
83.33%
71.7%
BUF
34
Ron Jaworski
ESPN
60.00%
83.33%
71.7%
TBB
35
Tom Jackson
ESPN
60.00%
83.33%
71.7%
TBB
36
Steve Mariucci
NFL
60.00%
83.33%
71.7%
TBB
37
Warren Sapp
NFL
60.00%
83.33%
71.7%
No Pick
38
Mike Florio
PFT
60.00%
83.33%
71.7%
TBB
39
Andrea Hangst
Bleacher Report
40.00%
100.00%
70.0%
TBB
40
Shaun O'Hara
NFL
40.00%
100.00%
70.0%
BUF
41
Dave Richard
CBS
80.00%
50.00%
65.0%
TBB
42
Brian Baldinger
NFL
80.00%
50.00%
65.0%
TBB
43
Gordon McGuinness
ProFootballFocus
80.00%
50.00%
65.0%
TBB
44
Pete O'Brien
USA Today
80.00%
50.00%
65.0%
TBB
45
Simon Samano
USA Today
80.00%
50.00%
65.0%
TBB
46
Accuscore
Accuscore
80.00%
50.00%
65.0%
TBB
47
Prediction Machine
CBS
60.00%
66.67%
63.3%
TBB
48
Cris Carter
ESPN
60.00%
66.67%
63.3%
TBB
49
Eric Allen
ESPN
60.00%
66.67%
63.3%
TBB
50
K.C. Joyner
ESPN
60.00%
66.67%
63.3%
TBB
51
Adam Meyer
FOX
60.00%
66.67%
63.3%
BUF
52
Michael Fabiano
NFL
60.00%
66.67%
63.3%
BUF
53
Elliot Harrison
NFL
60.00%
66.67%
63.3%
TBB
54
Gregg Rosenthal
NFL
60.00%
66.67%
63.3%
TBB
55
Heath Evans
NFL
60.00%
66.67%
63.3%
TBB
56
Kevin Patra
NFL
60.00%
66.67%
63.3%
TBB
57
Melissa Stark
NFL
60.00%
66.67%
63.3%
TBB
58
Michael Silver
NFL
60.00%
66.67%
63.3%
TBB
59
NFL FAN PICKS
NFL
60.00%
66.67%
63.3%
BUF
60
Michael David Smith
PFT
60.00%
66.67%
63.3%
TBB
61
Ben Stockwell
ProFootballFocus
60.00%
66.67%
63.3%
TBB
62
Khaled Elsayed
ProFootballFocus
60.00%
66.67%
63.3%
TBB
63
Vinnie Iyer
Sporting News
60.00%
66.67%
63.3%
TBB
64
Lindsay H. Jones
USA Today
60.00%
66.67%
63.3%
TBB
65
Ty Schalter
Bleacher Report
40.00%
83.33%
61.7%
TBB
66
Steve Wyche
NFL
40.00%
83.33%
61.7%
TBB
67
Pickwatch
Pickwatch
40.00%
83.33%
61.7%
TBB
68
Les Carpenter
Yahoo
40.00%
83.33%
61.7%
No Pick
69
Jamey Eisenberg
CBS
80.00%
33.33%
56.7%
TBB
70
Pete Prisco
CBS
80.00%
33.33%
56.7%
TBB
71
Chris Hansen
Bleacher Report
60.00%
50.00%
55.0%
TBB
72
Erik Frenz
Bleacher Report
60.00%
50.00%
55.0%
BUF
73
Mike Freeman
Bleacher Report
60.00%
50.00%
55.0%
BUF
74
Will Brinson
CBS
60.00%
50.00%
55.0%
TBB
75
Pick ‘em
ESPN
60.00%
50.00%
55.0%
TBB
76
Chris Law
NFL
60.00%
50.00%
55.0%
TBB
77
Sam Monson
ProFootballFocus
60.00%
50.00%
55.0%
TBB
78
Steve Palazzolo
ProFootballFocus
60.00%
50.00%
55.0%
TBB
79
Frank Schwab
Yahoo
60.00%
50.00%
55.0%
TBB
80
Yahoo Users
Yahoo
60.00%
50.00%
55.0%
TBB
81
Jarrett Bell
USA Today
60.00%
50.00%
55.0%
TBB
82
Knox Bardeen
Bleacher Report
40.00%
66.67%
53.3%
TBB
83
Matt Miller
Bleacher Report
40.00%
66.67%
53.3%
TBB
84
Michael Schottey
Bleacher Report
40.00%
66.67%
53.3%
TBB
85
Henry Hodgson
NFL
40.00%
66.67%
53.3%
BUF
86
Kurt Warner
NFL
40.00%
66.67%
53.3%
No Pick
87
Tom Pelissero
USA Today
40.00%
66.67%
53.3%
TBB
88
Nathan Jahnke
ProFootballFocus
60.00%
33.33%
46.7%
TBB
89
Brad Gagnon
Bleacher Report
40.00%
50.00%
45.0%
TBB
90
Coin Toss
None
40.00%
50.00%
45.0%
BUF
91
Whatifsports
FOX
20.00%
66.67%
43.3%
BUF
92
Ryan Fowler
FOX
40.00%
33.33%
36.7%
TBB
93
Adam Rank
NFL
20.00%
50.00%
35.0%
BUF
For more updates from Pickwatch, follow us on twitter or Facebook. We'll be back throughout the afternoon with more previews of week 14's matchups, helping you to decide who to trust in this week's biggest games.
