*Oh Geno. The Turnover extravaganza that is the New York Jets QB situation gets to embarrass itself at home this week. Incredibly, the Jets are marginally favored by experts and Vegas alike, which seems insane considering they could well be down to David Garrard at the most important position in the game by 8pm ET. Seriously, Geno Smith has managed one good game all season, how much longer can the Jets go with him? There's a broader point to be made given the mixed fortunes of rookie QB's in the last few years about how the 'sink or swim' mentality has affected QB development, but that's for another day... *
Oakland @ New York Jets (1pm ET)
**Matchup Difficulty: 53% **(the higher the average score, the better the experts' success rate when picking these two teams. An 'average' matchup would be 62%)
Consensus: **New York Jets 51%**
Top 5 Overall: **Oakland 60%**
**Week 14 of the NFL season sees us debut our latest statistical breakdown, the 'Best Pick Index'.
The index takes the home and road records of each expert in every matchup and calculates who has the best record overall, before then allowing you to easily see who has picked each team.**
Oakland
New York Jets
Rank
Expert
Affiliation
Road %
Home %
Overall
Pick
1
Gregg Rosenthal
NFL
83.33%
66.67%
75.0%
OAK
2
Melissa Stark
NFL
100.00%
50.00%
75.0%
OAK
3
Accuscore
Accuscore
83.33%
66.67%
75.0%
NYJ
4
Chris Mortensen
ESPN
83.33%
50.00%
66.7%
NYJ
5
Chris Wesseling
NFL
83.33%
50.00%
66.7%
NYJ
6
Kevin Patra
NFL
83.33%
50.00%
66.7%
NYJ
7
Ben Stockwell
ProFootballFocus
83.33%
50.00%
66.7%
OAK
8
Sam Monson
ProFootballFocus
83.33%
50.00%
66.7%
NYJ
9
Pete O'Brien
USA Today
83.33%
50.00%
66.7%
NYJ
10
Brad Gagnon
Bleacher Report
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
OAK
11
Erik Frenz
Bleacher Report
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
OAK
12
Matt Bowen
Bleacher Report
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
OAK
13
Mike Freeman
Bleacher Report
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
OAK
14
Tyson Langland
Bleacher Report
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
OAK
15
Zach Kruse
Bleacher Report
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
NYJ
16
Dave Richard
CBS
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
OAK
17
Jamey Eisenberg
CBS
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
OAK
18
Josh Katzowitz
CBS
100.00%
16.67%
58.3%
NYJ
19
Eric Allen
ESPN
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
OAK
20
Mark Schlereth
ESPN
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
OAK
21
Mike Ditka
ESPN
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
OAK
22
Mike Golic
ESPN
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
OAK
23
Ron Jaworski
ESPN
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
OAK
24
Seth Wickersham
ESPN
100.00%
16.67%
58.3%
NYJ
25
Tom Jackson
ESPN
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
OAK
26
Joel Beall
FOX
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
No Pick
27
John Halpin
FOX
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
NYJ
28
Chris Brockman
NFL
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
OAK
29
Chris Law
NFL
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
OAK
30
Dan Hanzus
NFL
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
NYJ
31
Dave Damashek
NFL
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
NYJ
32
Michael Silver
NFL
100.00%
16.67%
58.3%
NYJ
33
Rich Eisen
NFL
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
OAK
34
Sterling Sharpe
NFL
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
OAK
35
Steve Mariucci
NFL
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
NYJ
36
Michael David Smith
PFT
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
OAK
37
Gordon McGuinness
ProFootballFocus
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
NYJ
38
Khaled Elsayed
ProFootballFocus
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
NYJ
39
Nathan Jahnke
ProFootballFocus
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
OAK
40
Rick Drummond
ProFootballFocus
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
OAK
41
Frank Schwab
Yahoo
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
NYJ
42
Black Tie
NFL
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
OAK
43
Jim Corbett
USA Today
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
NYJ
44
Nate Davis
USA Today
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
NYJ
45
Lindsay H. Jones
USA Today
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
NYJ
46
Simon Samano
USA Today
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
NYJ
47
Keyshawn Johnson
ESPN
66.67%
50.00%
58.3%
OAK
48
Pickwatch
Pickwatch
66.67%
50.00%
58.3%
OAK
49
Matt Smith
NFL
83.33%
20.00%
51.7%
No Pick
50
Andrea Hangst
Bleacher Report
83.33%
16.67%
50.0%
OAK
51
Michael Schottey
Bleacher Report
83.33%
16.67%
50.0%
OAK
52
Ty Schalter
Bleacher Report
66.67%
33.33%
50.0%
OAK
53
Pete Prisco
CBS
83.33%
16.67%
50.0%
NYJ
54
Prediction Machine
CBS
83.33%
16.67%
50.0%
NYJ
55
Ryan Wilson
CBS
83.33%
16.67%
50.0%
OAK
56
Cris Carter
ESPN
83.33%
16.67%
50.0%
NYJ
57
K.C. Joyner
ESPN
83.33%
16.67%
50.0%
NYJ
58
Merill Hoge
ESPN
83.33%
16.67%
50.0%
NYJ
59
Pick ‘em
ESPN
83.33%
16.67%
50.0%
OAK
60
Adam Meyer
FOX
83.33%
16.67%
50.0%
NYJ
61
Ryan Fowler
FOX
66.67%
33.33%
50.0%
NYJ
62
Heath Evans
NFL
83.33%
16.67%
50.0%
NYJ
63
Henry Hodgson
NFL
83.33%
16.67%
50.0%
OAK
64
Kurt Warner
NFL
83.33%
16.67%
50.0%
No Pick
65
Michael Irvin
NFL
83.33%
16.67%
50.0%
NYJ
66
NFL FAN PICKS
NFL
83.33%
16.67%
50.0%
NYJ
67
Shaun O'Hara
NFL
83.33%
16.67%
50.0%
OAK
68
Steve Wyche
NFL
83.33%
16.67%
50.0%
OAK
69
Warren Sapp
NFL
83.33%
16.67%
50.0%
No Pick
70
Mike Florio
PFT
83.33%
16.67%
50.0%
NYJ
71
Neil Hornsby
ProFootballFocus
83.33%
16.67%
50.0%
NYJ
72
Steve Palazzolo
ProFootballFocus
83.33%
16.67%
50.0%
NYJ
73
Les Carpenter
Yahoo
83.33%
16.67%
50.0%
No Pick
74
Yahoo Users
Yahoo
83.33%
16.67%
50.0%
NYJ
75
Don Banks
Sports Illustrated
83.33%
16.67%
50.0%
OAK
76
Tom Pelissero
USA Today
83.33%
16.67%
50.0%
NYJ
77
Brian Baldinger
NFL
66.67%
20.00%
43.3%
NYJ
78
Knox Bardeen
Bleacher Report
83.33%
0.00%
41.7%
OAK
79
Will Brinson
CBS
83.33%
0.00%
41.7%
OAK
80
Adam Schefter
ESPN
83.33%
0.00%
41.7%
NYJ
81
Whatifsports
FOX
83.33%
0.00%
41.7%
OAK
82
Michael Fabiano
NFL
83.33%
0.00%
41.7%
OAK
83
Elliot Harrison
NFL
83.33%
0.00%
41.7%
NYJ
84
Marshall Faulk
NFL
83.33%
0.00%
41.7%
No Pick
85
Vinnie Iyer
Sporting News
83.33%
0.00%
41.7%
OAK
86
Jarrett Bell
USA Today
83.33%
0.00%
41.7%
NYJ
87
Chris Hansen
Bleacher Report
66.67%
16.67%
41.7%
OAK
88
Matt Miller
Bleacher Report
66.67%
16.67%
41.7%
OAK
89
Jason La Canfora
CBS
66.67%
16.67%
41.7%
OAK
90
John Breech
CBS
66.67%
16.67%
41.7%
NYJ
91
Coin Toss
None
50.00%
33.33%
41.7%
NYJ
92
Adam Rank
NFL
66.67%
0.00%
33.3%
NYJ
93
Marc Sessler
NFL
50.00%
16.67%
33.3%
NYJ
For more updates from Pickwatch, follow us on twitter or Facebook. We'll be back throughout the afternoon with more previews of week 14's matchups, helping you to decide who to trust in this week's biggest games.
