This game could well be decided by the weather. Ryan Tannehill's fumbling has not been as much of a factor lately, indeed he hasn't let one go in the last 5 games. If anything can knock it loose though, it's the Steelers D in the snow. If you live somewhere where you can bet on a defensive TD, get on Pittsburgh, as Tannehill has thrown an INT in 4 straight games now... **Here's Pickwatch's guide to how the experts have picked this week's NFL matchups...**

Miami @ Pittsburgh (1pm ET)

**Matchup Difficulty: 47% **(the higher the average score, the better the experts' success rate when picking these two teams. An 'average' matchup would be 62%)

Consensus: *Pittsburgh *78%

Top 5 Overall: *Pittsburgh *80%

**Week 14 of the NFL season sees us debut our latest statistical breakdown, the 'Best Pick Index'.

The index takes the home and road records of each expert in every matchup and calculates who has the best record overall, before then allowing you to easily see who has picked each team.**

Miami

Pittsburgh

Rank

Expert

Affiliation

Road %

Home %

Overall

Pick

1

Mike Ditka

ESPN

66.67%

100.00%

83.3%

PIT

2

Kevin Patra

NFL

100.00%

66.67%

83.3%

PIT

3

Khaled Elsayed

ProFootballFocus

100.00%

66.67%

83.3%

PIT

4

Black Tie

NFL

100.00%

66.67%

83.3%

PIT

5

Brad Gagnon

Bleacher Report

83.33%

66.67%

75.0%

PIT

6

Matt Bowen

Bleacher Report

83.33%

66.67%

75.0%

PIT

7

Cris Carter

ESPN

83.33%

66.67%

75.0%

PIT

8

K.C. Joyner

ESPN

83.33%

66.67%

75.0%

MIA

9

Mike Golic

ESPN

83.33%

66.67%

75.0%

PIT

10

Ron Jaworski

ESPN

83.33%

66.67%

75.0%

PIT

11

Tom Jackson

ESPN

83.33%

66.67%

75.0%

PIT

12

Steve Mariucci

NFL

83.33%

66.67%

75.0%

PIT

13

Warren Sapp

NFL

83.33%

66.67%

75.0%

No Pick

14

Simon Samano

USA Today

83.33%

66.67%

75.0%

PIT

15

Andrea Hangst

Bleacher Report

66.67%

66.67%

66.7%

PIT

16

Knox Bardeen

Bleacher Report

66.67%

66.67%

66.7%

PIT

17

Mark Schlereth

ESPN

66.67%

66.67%

66.7%

PIT

18

Joel Beall

FOX

66.67%

66.67%

66.7%

No Pick

19

Chris Brockman

NFL

66.67%

66.67%

66.7%

PIT

20

Marc Sessler

NFL

33.33%

100.00%

66.7%

PIT

21

Ben Stockwell

ProFootballFocus

66.67%

66.67%

66.7%

PIT

22

Ty Schalter

Bleacher Report

83.33%

33.33%

58.3%

MIA

23

Tyson Langland

Bleacher Report

83.33%

33.33%

58.3%

PIT

24

John Breech

CBS

83.33%

33.33%

58.3%

PIT

25

Dave Damashek

NFL

83.33%

33.33%

58.3%

PIT

26

Michael Silver

NFL

83.33%

33.33%

58.3%

PIT

27

Les Carpenter

Yahoo

83.33%

33.33%

58.3%

No Pick

28

Jim Corbett

USA Today

83.33%

33.33%

58.3%

PIT

29

Pete O'Brien

USA Today

83.33%

33.33%

58.3%

PIT

30

Matt Miller

Bleacher Report

50.00%

66.67%

58.3%

PIT

31

Dave Richard

CBS

50.00%

66.67%

58.3%

MIA

32

Jamey Eisenberg

CBS

50.00%

66.67%

58.3%

PIT

33

Josh Katzowitz

CBS

50.00%

66.67%

58.3%

PIT

34

Prediction Machine

CBS

50.00%

66.67%

58.3%

MIA

35

Will Brinson

CBS

50.00%

66.67%

58.3%

PIT

36

Eric Allen

ESPN

50.00%

66.67%

58.3%

PIT

37

Keyshawn Johnson

ESPN

50.00%

66.67%

58.3%

PIT

38

Chris Wesseling

NFL

50.00%

66.67%

58.3%

PIT

39

Elliot Harrison

NFL

50.00%

66.67%

58.3%

MIA

40

Heath Evans

NFL

50.00%

66.67%

58.3%

PIT

41

Sterling Sharpe

NFL

50.00%

66.67%

58.3%

MIA

42

Brian Baldinger

NFL

40.00%

66.67%

53.3%

PIT

43

Erik Frenz

Bleacher Report

66.67%

33.33%

50.0%

MIA

44

Mike Freeman

Bleacher Report

66.67%

33.33%

50.0%

PIT

45

Zach Kruse

Bleacher Report

33.33%

66.67%

50.0%

MIA

46

Pick ‘em

ESPN

66.67%

33.33%

50.0%

PIT

47

Adam Meyer

FOX

33.33%

66.67%

50.0%

PIT

48

John Halpin

FOX

33.33%

66.67%

50.0%

PIT

49

Chris Law

NFL

66.67%

33.33%

50.0%

MIA

50

Gregg Rosenthal

NFL

66.67%

33.33%

50.0%

PIT

51

Henry Hodgson

NFL

66.67%

33.33%

50.0%

MIA

52

Michael Irvin

NFL

66.67%

33.33%

50.0%

MIA

53

NFL FAN PICKS

NFL

66.67%

33.33%

50.0%

PIT

54

Rich Eisen

NFL

66.67%

33.33%

50.0%

PIT

55

Steve Wyche

NFL

66.67%

33.33%

50.0%

PIT

56

Michael David Smith

PFT

66.67%

33.33%

50.0%

PIT

57

Pickwatch

Pickwatch

33.33%

66.67%

50.0%

PIT

58

Nathan Jahnke

ProFootballFocus

66.67%

33.33%

50.0%

MIA

59

Yahoo Users

Yahoo

66.67%

33.33%

50.0%

PIT

60

Nate Davis

USA Today

66.67%

33.33%

50.0%

PIT

61

Marshall Faulk

NFL

60.00%

33.33%

46.7%

No Pick

62

Chris Mortensen

ESPN

83.33%

0.00%

41.7%

PIT

63

Accuscore

Accuscore

83.33%

0.00%

41.7%

MIA

64

Chris Hansen

Bleacher Report

50.00%

33.33%

41.7%

PIT

65

Michael Schottey

Bleacher Report

50.00%

33.33%

41.7%

PIT

66

Jason La Canfora

CBS

50.00%

33.33%

41.7%

PIT

67

Ryan Wilson

CBS

50.00%

33.33%

41.7%

MIA

68

Adam Schefter

ESPN

50.00%

33.33%

41.7%

PIT

69

Merill Hoge

ESPN

50.00%

33.33%

41.7%

PIT

70

Ryan Fowler

FOX

50.00%

33.33%

41.7%

PIT

71

Whatifsports

FOX

50.00%

33.33%

41.7%

PIT

72

Michael Fabiano

NFL

50.00%

33.33%

41.7%

PIT

73

Melissa Stark

NFL

50.00%

33.33%

41.7%

PIT

74

Shaun O'Hara

NFL

50.00%

33.33%

41.7%

MIA

75

Coin Toss

None

16.67%

66.67%

41.7%

PIT

76

Mike Florio

PFT

50.00%

33.33%

41.7%

MIA

77

Rick Drummond

ProFootballFocus

50.00%

33.33%

41.7%

PIT

78

Sam Monson

ProFootballFocus

50.00%

33.33%

41.7%

PIT

79

Lindsay H. Jones

USA Today

50.00%

33.33%

41.7%

MIA

80

Matt Smith

NFL

40.00%

33.33%

36.7%

No Pick

81

Pete Prisco

CBS

33.33%

33.33%

33.3%

PIT

82

Dan Hanzus

NFL

66.67%

0.00%

33.3%

PIT

83

Kurt Warner

NFL

33.33%

33.33%

33.3%

No Pick

84

Neil Hornsby

ProFootballFocus

33.33%

33.33%

33.3%

PIT

85

Steve Palazzolo

ProFootballFocus

33.33%

33.33%

33.3%

PIT

86

Frank Schwab

Yahoo

33.33%

33.33%

33.3%

PIT

87

Don Banks

Sports Illustrated

33.33%

33.33%

33.3%

PIT

88

Tom Pelissero

USA Today

66.67%

0.00%

33.3%

MIA

89

Adam Rank

NFL

20.00%

33.33%

26.7%

MIA

90

Gordon McGuinness

ProFootballFocus

50.00%

0.00%

25.0%

PIT

91

Vinnie Iyer

Sporting News

50.00%

0.00%

25.0%

PIT

92

Jarrett Bell

USA Today

50.00%

0.00%

25.0%

PIT

93

Seth Wickersham

ESPN

33.33%

0.00%

16.7%

PIT

For more updates from Pickwatch, follow us on twitter or Facebook. We'll be back throughout the afternoon with more previews of week 14's matchups, helping you to decide who to trust in this week's biggest games.