This game could well be decided by the weather. Ryan Tannehill's fumbling has not been as much of a factor lately, indeed he hasn't let one go in the last 5 games. If anything can knock it loose though, it's the Steelers D in the snow. If you live somewhere where you can bet on a defensive TD, get on Pittsburgh, as Tannehill has thrown an INT in 4 straight games now... **Here's Pickwatch's guide to how the experts have picked this week's NFL matchups...**
Miami @ Pittsburgh (1pm ET)
**Matchup Difficulty: 47% **(the higher the average score, the better the experts' success rate when picking these two teams. An 'average' matchup would be 62%)
Consensus: *Pittsburgh *78%
Top 5 Overall: *Pittsburgh *80%
**Week 14 of the NFL season sees us debut our latest statistical breakdown, the 'Best Pick Index'.
The index takes the home and road records of each expert in every matchup and calculates who has the best record overall, before then allowing you to easily see who has picked each team.**
Miami
Pittsburgh
Rank
Expert
Affiliation
Road %
Home %
Overall
Pick
1
Mike Ditka
ESPN
66.67%
100.00%
83.3%
PIT
2
Kevin Patra
NFL
100.00%
66.67%
83.3%
PIT
3
Khaled Elsayed
ProFootballFocus
100.00%
66.67%
83.3%
PIT
4
Black Tie
NFL
100.00%
66.67%
83.3%
PIT
5
Brad Gagnon
Bleacher Report
83.33%
66.67%
75.0%
PIT
6
Matt Bowen
Bleacher Report
83.33%
66.67%
75.0%
PIT
7
Cris Carter
ESPN
83.33%
66.67%
75.0%
PIT
8
K.C. Joyner
ESPN
83.33%
66.67%
75.0%
MIA
9
Mike Golic
ESPN
83.33%
66.67%
75.0%
PIT
10
Ron Jaworski
ESPN
83.33%
66.67%
75.0%
PIT
11
Tom Jackson
ESPN
83.33%
66.67%
75.0%
PIT
12
Steve Mariucci
NFL
83.33%
66.67%
75.0%
PIT
13
Warren Sapp
NFL
83.33%
66.67%
75.0%
No Pick
14
Simon Samano
USA Today
83.33%
66.67%
75.0%
PIT
15
Andrea Hangst
Bleacher Report
66.67%
66.67%
66.7%
PIT
16
Knox Bardeen
Bleacher Report
66.67%
66.67%
66.7%
PIT
17
Mark Schlereth
ESPN
66.67%
66.67%
66.7%
PIT
18
Joel Beall
FOX
66.67%
66.67%
66.7%
No Pick
19
Chris Brockman
NFL
66.67%
66.67%
66.7%
PIT
20
Marc Sessler
NFL
33.33%
100.00%
66.7%
PIT
21
Ben Stockwell
ProFootballFocus
66.67%
66.67%
66.7%
PIT
22
Ty Schalter
Bleacher Report
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
MIA
23
Tyson Langland
Bleacher Report
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
PIT
24
John Breech
CBS
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
PIT
25
Dave Damashek
NFL
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
PIT
26
Michael Silver
NFL
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
PIT
27
Les Carpenter
Yahoo
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
No Pick
28
Jim Corbett
USA Today
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
PIT
29
Pete O'Brien
USA Today
83.33%
33.33%
58.3%
PIT
30
Matt Miller
Bleacher Report
50.00%
66.67%
58.3%
PIT
31
Dave Richard
CBS
50.00%
66.67%
58.3%
MIA
32
Jamey Eisenberg
CBS
50.00%
66.67%
58.3%
PIT
33
Josh Katzowitz
CBS
50.00%
66.67%
58.3%
PIT
34
Prediction Machine
CBS
50.00%
66.67%
58.3%
MIA
35
Will Brinson
CBS
50.00%
66.67%
58.3%
PIT
36
Eric Allen
ESPN
50.00%
66.67%
58.3%
PIT
37
Keyshawn Johnson
ESPN
50.00%
66.67%
58.3%
PIT
38
Chris Wesseling
NFL
50.00%
66.67%
58.3%
PIT
39
Elliot Harrison
NFL
50.00%
66.67%
58.3%
MIA
40
Heath Evans
NFL
50.00%
66.67%
58.3%
PIT
41
Sterling Sharpe
NFL
50.00%
66.67%
58.3%
MIA
42
Brian Baldinger
NFL
40.00%
66.67%
53.3%
PIT
43
Erik Frenz
Bleacher Report
66.67%
33.33%
50.0%
MIA
44
Mike Freeman
Bleacher Report
66.67%
33.33%
50.0%
PIT
45
Zach Kruse
Bleacher Report
33.33%
66.67%
50.0%
MIA
46
Pick ‘em
ESPN
66.67%
33.33%
50.0%
PIT
47
Adam Meyer
FOX
33.33%
66.67%
50.0%
PIT
48
John Halpin
FOX
33.33%
66.67%
50.0%
PIT
49
Chris Law
NFL
66.67%
33.33%
50.0%
MIA
50
Gregg Rosenthal
NFL
66.67%
33.33%
50.0%
PIT
51
Henry Hodgson
NFL
66.67%
33.33%
50.0%
MIA
52
Michael Irvin
NFL
66.67%
33.33%
50.0%
MIA
53
NFL FAN PICKS
NFL
66.67%
33.33%
50.0%
PIT
54
Rich Eisen
NFL
66.67%
33.33%
50.0%
PIT
55
Steve Wyche
NFL
66.67%
33.33%
50.0%
PIT
56
Michael David Smith
PFT
66.67%
33.33%
50.0%
PIT
57
Pickwatch
Pickwatch
33.33%
66.67%
50.0%
PIT
58
Nathan Jahnke
ProFootballFocus
66.67%
33.33%
50.0%
MIA
59
Yahoo Users
Yahoo
66.67%
33.33%
50.0%
PIT
60
Nate Davis
USA Today
66.67%
33.33%
50.0%
PIT
61
Marshall Faulk
NFL
60.00%
33.33%
46.7%
No Pick
62
Chris Mortensen
ESPN
83.33%
0.00%
41.7%
PIT
63
Accuscore
Accuscore
83.33%
0.00%
41.7%
MIA
64
Chris Hansen
Bleacher Report
50.00%
33.33%
41.7%
PIT
65
Michael Schottey
Bleacher Report
50.00%
33.33%
41.7%
PIT
66
Jason La Canfora
CBS
50.00%
33.33%
41.7%
PIT
67
Ryan Wilson
CBS
50.00%
33.33%
41.7%
MIA
68
Adam Schefter
ESPN
50.00%
33.33%
41.7%
PIT
69
Merill Hoge
ESPN
50.00%
33.33%
41.7%
PIT
70
Ryan Fowler
FOX
50.00%
33.33%
41.7%
PIT
71
Whatifsports
FOX
50.00%
33.33%
41.7%
PIT
72
Michael Fabiano
NFL
50.00%
33.33%
41.7%
PIT
73
Melissa Stark
NFL
50.00%
33.33%
41.7%
PIT
74
Shaun O'Hara
NFL
50.00%
33.33%
41.7%
MIA
75
Coin Toss
None
16.67%
66.67%
41.7%
PIT
76
Mike Florio
PFT
50.00%
33.33%
41.7%
MIA
77
Rick Drummond
ProFootballFocus
50.00%
33.33%
41.7%
PIT
78
Sam Monson
ProFootballFocus
50.00%
33.33%
41.7%
PIT
79
Lindsay H. Jones
USA Today
50.00%
33.33%
41.7%
MIA
80
Matt Smith
NFL
40.00%
33.33%
36.7%
No Pick
81
Pete Prisco
CBS
33.33%
33.33%
33.3%
PIT
82
Dan Hanzus
NFL
66.67%
0.00%
33.3%
PIT
83
Kurt Warner
NFL
33.33%
33.33%
33.3%
No Pick
84
Neil Hornsby
ProFootballFocus
33.33%
33.33%
33.3%
PIT
85
Steve Palazzolo
ProFootballFocus
33.33%
33.33%
33.3%
PIT
86
Frank Schwab
Yahoo
33.33%
33.33%
33.3%
PIT
87
Don Banks
Sports Illustrated
33.33%
33.33%
33.3%
PIT
88
Tom Pelissero
USA Today
66.67%
0.00%
33.3%
MIA
89
Adam Rank
NFL
20.00%
33.33%
26.7%
MIA
90
Gordon McGuinness
ProFootballFocus
50.00%
0.00%
25.0%
PIT
91
Vinnie Iyer
Sporting News
50.00%
0.00%
25.0%
PIT
92
Jarrett Bell
USA Today
50.00%
0.00%
25.0%
PIT
93
Seth Wickersham
ESPN
33.33%
0.00%
16.7%
PIT
For more updates from Pickwatch, follow us on twitter or Facebook. We'll be back throughout the afternoon with more previews of week 14's matchups, helping you to decide who to trust in this week's biggest games.