It's Newshound time again and today we find out why predicting first round QB's can go wrong for those who tell us that taking first round QB's can go wrong. Trust us, it'll make sense in a moment... We also find out why Johnny Manziel is a dead cert to be a superstar, and how Vince Young became the second coming...

Learning from the mistakes of others (that you pointed out)

We had a bit of a dig at Profootballtalk's Mike Florio the other day, but we don't want anyone thinking that we're using this column as an excuse to have a daily pop at Florio or anyone else for that matter. That said, he and PFT sometimes make it very easy for us, as in the following case...

Remember Andre Woodson? Wodson was the Kentucky QB whose draft stock was so unpredictable that in 2008 pre-draft mocks he was anything from a first-rounder to a 5th rounder.

He ended up going in the 6th round, despite claiming later that he had been led to believe he was a 2nd round pick.

Now, quite rightly, Mike Florio pointed out on PFT some time after the Woodson fiasco that expert opinions on Woodson's draft stock were potentially dangerous, giving players a false sense of belief and potentially influencing off-field decisions. As per Florio's general 2008 style, this was passed along via a virulently anti-ESPN character assassination of Todd McShay from a 'league source':

"The problem with people like McShay is that they have no accountability,” the source said. “They can say what they want and when they are wrong no one cares, [except] the kid’s family. McShay could not get a job with any NFL team, even as an intern. He is a very poor evaluator. He proved it with his evaluation of Woodson."
(courtesy of walterfootball forums)

That's actually fine. We agree that people should try to remember that those slabs of meat being measured poked, prodded and psycho-analysed in the run up to the draft are human beings. When a guy falls 3-4 rounds beyond where he believed he'd be drafted, the financial implications for both the player and his family are huge, and you'd have to be made of stone not to feel for Woodson as he describes what it is like to not hear your name called for almost two whole days.

So what has Mike Florio learned from the whole sorry episode? Well, according to his 2013 1st round 'final mock draft', very little. In fact he has taken 'Woodson-ing' to an even greater level.

"8. Bills: Ryan Nassib, quarterback, Syracuse."
"26. Packers: John Jenkins, defensive tackle, Georgia."
Nassib was of course drafted in the 4th round by the Giants, while Jenkins went to the Saints in round 3.

We can't wait for the "league source" to give their opinion on that one.

'The one where Skip makes us vomit'
ESPN has long trodden a fine line between sports and entertainment, pretty much forgoing all sense of journalistic integrity in the name of shouting matches between opinionated bigots who are willing to say anything to boost ratings. If you don't believe us, check out deadspin's scathing takedown of Bristol here.

With all of that in mind, Skip Bayless's latest ESPN.com piece comparing Johnny Manziel to Tim Tebow is a chilling vision of things to come. If Tebow was TV dynamite to Skip and co, then Johnny Football is a nuclear warhead aimed directly at your face 24/7.

Let's overlook Bayless's shoehorning of Tebow into an article about someone who is almost a polar opposite in many regards, and instead we'll see what fascinating insight Skip has to offer into Manziel's future in the NFL.

"I was right about Tim Tebow and I will be right on a much higher level about Johnny Manziel."
We think this means he was actually wrong about Tebow in some ways, and that he'll be even less wrong about Manziel.

"Manziel has Tebow's miracle-making will, electrified by far more quickness, speed, accuracy, radar and football IQ."
In fairness, it is hard to not be better than Tebow in many of those categories...

"Tebow was a phenomenon. Manziel will be a perennial Pro Bowler, a [Michael Vick](http://espn.go.com/nfl/player//id/2549/michael-vick) fully capable of picking you to pieces from the pocket."_
Is this even a compliment any more? It isn't 2004, Vick is widely regarded as having frustratingly thrown away potentially game-changing physical gifts. Not to mention that getting to the Pro Bowl is hardly the badge of honor it once was, given that last year 11 QB's (over 1/3) technically 'made the Pro Bowl' in 2013. That list included Eli Manning, who had arguably his worst season as a pro, so if anyone sets any stall by the Pro Bowl, they probably know as much about football as the people who voted for Eli.

"This is how much better Manziel is: The [Houston Texans](http://espn.go.com/nfl/team//name/hou/houston-texans), with this year's No. 1 overall pick, will forever regret it if they don't take the Texas kid with the movie-title nickname, Johnny Football."_

We don't know whether Manziel will be good or bad at the next level, but for the record, here are Skip's thoughts on one Mr Vince Young in 2006:

"This young man has a 6-foot-5, 235-pound blend of talent and intangibles never before seen in a quarterback. I don't want to hear another word comparing Young with Michael Vick or Daunte Culpepper or Randall Cunningham. He's in another stratosphere as a passer/runner/leader."
"Madison Avenue analysts are projecting Young could quickly become the NFL's most marketable star -- its LeBron, a Michael Vick who can live up to the hype."
"Vick is still the NFL's most dangerous broken-field runner. But he's playing the wrong position. At what appears to be a shade under 6 feet, Vick has trouble seeing over Young-sized defensive linemen" [for the record, Manziel is officially 5'11" 3/4]
"But Texans fans are right: Their team would be crazy not to take Vince.

"If they don't," says Houston Chronicle columnist Richard Justice, "they'll need an armed perimeter around the stadium to keep fans from storming it. Vince is all anyone is talking about."

"And the Texans can risk letting Young fall to (and turn around) the New Orleans Saints? Or -- their worst nightmare -- the Tennessee Titans?"

So you'll forgive us if we take Skip's draft opinions with a pinch of salt, given his Al Davis-esque tendency to masturbate himself senseless over physical ability, while conveniently ignoring every off the field red flag that GMs and head coaches might base their decisions on. And yeah, we had to imagine Al Davis masturbating after writing that, and it was not nice. Or moist.

We'll let Skip sign off with a final piece of 2006 pre-draft NFL wisdom:

"Indeed, if Reggie Bush avoids knee surgery, he'll be a Hall of Famer."
That's why he's on the big bucks...

Mean Machine

"__Projecting Ray Rice took some guts, but somehow we've found a way to give him over 1,200 total yards." says CBSSports.com's fantasy expert Dave Richard.

We've seen 'The Longest Yard' too, Dave.

We'll be back with more petty sniping and media analysis throughout the week. In the meantime, check us out on twitter or drop us an email if you spot anything you'd like to see on these pages.