From 2009-14, the Jets went 4-9 against the Patriots, and a number of those losses were closer than expected. Not that New York had such great success against New England, but for some reason, these games, no matter how heavily the Patriots were favored, always were nail-biters for New England fans, especially when their team had to go on the road.
Since coach Todd Bowles took over in New York, the Jets have gone 1-3 vs. New England, but two of those losses were by seven points or less. So again, not great, but not horrendous either.
This year, the Jets were supposed to be one of the worst teams in the league. Instead, they‚Äôre 3-2 and tied for first in the AFC East along with the Bills and the Patriots. Yes, they‚Äôve beaten some of the league‚Äôs bottom-feeders, but hell, they could have lost those games instead. New York plays host to New England on Sunday. As of this writing, the Jets are a 10-point underdog. But I‚Äôm not so very confident the Patriots will cover, and honestly, I wouldn‚Äôt bet the mortgage that they‚Äôll win either.
Something always seems to get strange when the Patriots face the Jets, and this year, with how unexpected New York‚Äôs season has already been, could be no exception.
As usual, check out Pickwatch‚Äôs John Halpin‚Äôs full slate of Week 6 picks and the Upset Watch from Shaun Lowrie. Now, here are a few of mine (If I‚Äôm right, make sure to congratulate me @jkatzo on Twitter).
1)Bet your life savings on this game*
49ers at Redskins
San Francisco is 0-5, but my initial thought in this game was that the Redskins giving 10 points was a bit much. After losing by 20 to the Panthers in the season opener, the 49ers have lost their next four games by a total of 11 points. Yes, San Francisco is bad, but it probably doesn‚Äôt deserve to be 0-5. On the other hand, the Redskins are coming off their bye week, and San Francisco has to travel across the country to play in the 1 p.m. ET game. It‚Äôs simply not a recipe for success. So, take the Redskins, and then be like Mike Pence. Get up from your seat and just leave the damn stadium before the 49ers even take the field.
Straight up: Redskins
Against the Spread: Redskins -10
2017 record for the ‚ÄúBet your life savings‚ÄĚ game: 3-2 S/U and 2-3 ATS
2)This game scares the hell out of me
Eagles at Panthers
It‚Äôs hard not to like the Eagles this year. Carson Wentz, in his second season, has been solid at quarterback, tight end Zach Ertz has caught the third-most passes in the league, and receiver Nelson Agholor has, at times, been a revelation. But the Panthers defense has been stingy with their yards allowed this year, and the team is coming off back-to-back road wins vs. the Patriots and the Lions. I‚Äôm beginning to think the Panthers are for real. I‚Äôm pretty sure Philadelphia is, too. Which makes this a difficult game to predict. Ultimately, I‚Äôll go with the Panthers, and I‚Äôm pretty sure Rosie the Riveter would agree.
Straight up: Panthers
Against the Spread: Eagles +3.5
2017 record for the ‚ÄúScares the hell out of me‚ÄĚ game: 5-0 S/U and 4-1 ATS
3) Fun game of the week
Steelers at Chiefs
This game is a fun one, only because I‚Äôm interested to see if Kansas City can keep alive its undefeated record. We discussed last week that the Chiefs might be a great team, and we saw that again on Sunday. Even though Kansas City was coming off a Monday night game and even though Houston had just dominated Tennessee, the Chiefs scored 42 points to outlast the Texans in Houston. The Steelers, meanwhile, were unbearably bad last week, getting dominated by the Jaguars. Pittsburgh will play better this week, but Kansas City at home is going to be too much for the Steelers to handle.
Straight up: Chiefs
Against the Spread: Chiefs -4
2017 record for ‚ÄúFun game of the week‚ÄĚ: 4-1 S/U and 3-2 ATS
2017 record for every game picked in this column: 12-3 S/U and 9-6 ATS
CAR over PHI¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬† ¬†¬†PHI +3.5
BAL over CHI¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬† CHI +7
HOU over CLE¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬† CLE +10
GB over MIN¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬† GB -6
DET over NO¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬† DET +5
ATL over MIA¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬† ATL -11.5
NE over NYJ¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬† NYJ +10
WAS over SF¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬† WAS -10
ARI over TB¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬† ARI +2
LAC over OAK¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬† N/A
JAC over LA¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬† JAC -2.5
KC over PIT¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬† KC -4 (fun)
DEN over NYG¬†¬†¬†¬†¬† NYG +12
TEN over IND¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬† N/A
*Don‚Äôt really bet your life savings. Please.